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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Belgrano Zarate v Control Orientado: numbers & prediction

Belgrano Zarate 42%Draw 30%Control Orientado 28% Expected goals 1.06 – 0.85
72%
Betarazi pick

Belgrano Zarate or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.40 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultBelgrano Zarate to win ✗42% · @2.15
Double chanceBelgrano Zarate or draw ✗72% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.73
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.38

Belgrano Zarate vs Control Orientado: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 9 August the Torneo Promocional Amateur brings Belgrano Zarate against Control Orientado. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Belgrano Zarate are 9th, upper half, on 22 points after 16 matches; Control Orientado are 11th (lower half) with 18.

Current form

Belgrano Zarate, last 5: DDDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Uribelarrea, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Control Orientado, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Alumni Los Hornos, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Control Orientado, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Belgrano Zarate.

Head to head

When they last met (13 Jun 2026) it ended Control Orientado 0–0 Belgrano Zarate.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Belgrano Zarate 1.1 xG, Control Orientado 0.9 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Belgrano Zarate 42%, draw 30%, Control Orientado 28%.
  • Lower-risk option: Belgrano Zarate or draw (72%) at 1.25.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Belgrano Zarate or draw (72%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Belgrano Zarate 1–0 Control Orientado. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Belgrano Zarate42%fair 2.40 · @2.15
Draw30%fair 3.34 · @2.90
Control Orientado28%fair 3.53 · @3.25
1.91Expected goals
1.06Belgrano Zarate xG
0.85Control Orientado xG
42%Both score
33%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
0–015%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%

From our goals model: Belgrano Zarate 1.1 – 0.9 Control Orientado expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBelgrano Zarate to win ✗42%2.402.15
Double chanceBelgrano Zarate or draw ✗72%1.401.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓58%1.73–
Draw no betBelgrano Zarate (draw no bet) ✗60%1.68–
Asian handicapControl Orientado +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗57%1.76–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67%1.491.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.05–
First team to scoreBelgrano Zarate to score first ✗47%2.12–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗51%1.96–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗23%4.39–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16%6.38–

Recent results

Belgrano Zarate – last 6

DDDLWD
25 Jul@ Uribelarrea1–1D
12 Julvs Las Mandarinas1–1D
28 Junvs Ezeiza0–0D
21 Jun@ Barrancas UMET0–1L
17 Junvs Buenos Aires City1–0W
13 Jun@ Control Orientado0–0D
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Control Orientado – last 6

LWLWWD
26 Jul@ Alumni Los Hornos0–2L
12 Julvs Everton La Plata1–0W
8 Jul@ Ezeiza2–3L
28 Junvs Barrancas UMET2–0W
23 Jun@ Buenos Aires City2–1W
13 Junvs Belgrano Zarate0–0D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Jun 2026Control Orientado v Belgrano Zarate0–0
Belgrano Zarate vs Control Orientado head-to-head page →

Torneo Promocional Amateur table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1SAT Moreno141103+1533
2Defensores Glew141022+2932
3Deportivo Metalurgico141022+2232
4Barrancas UMET16943+831
5Uribelarrea16853+829
6Ezeiza16754+126
7Buenos Aires City16745+525
8Nautico Hacoaj14734+1324
9Belgrano Zarate16574+122
10Alumni Los Hornos16538-318
11Control Orientado16538-518
12Estrella de Berisso14437-615
13Everton La Plata16358-714
14Las Mandarinas164210-814
15Atletico Pilar14239-139
16Juventud de Bernal142210-318
17Provincial142111-297

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Belgrano Zarate vs Control Orientado?

Our pick is Belgrano Zarate or draw with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Belgrano Zarate vs Control Orientado?

On our numbers Belgrano Zarate have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Control Orientado 28%.

How many goals will there be in Belgrano Zarate vs Control Orientado?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Belgrano Zarate vs Control Orientado?

Our predicted score is Belgrano Zarate 1–0 Control Orientado, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is Belgrano Zarate vs Control Orientado?

Belgrano Zarate vs Control Orientado (Torneo Promocional Amateur) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.