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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Alumni Los Hornos v Everton La Plata: numbers & prediction

Alumni Los Hornos 49%Draw 23%Everton La Plata 27% Expected goals 1.25 – 0.82
64%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultAlumni Los Hornos to win ✗49% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.74
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.36

Alumni Los Hornos vs Everton La Plata: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Alumni Los Hornos welcome Everton La Plata for a Torneo Promocional Amateur fixture on Sunday 16 August (19:00 WAT). In the table, Alumni Los Hornos are 10th, lower half, on 18 points after 16 matches; Everton La Plata are 13th (lower half) with 14.

Current form

Alumni Los Hornos, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 6–2 win over Ezeiza, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Everton La Plata, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Las Mandarinas, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.

Momentum favours Alumni Los Hornos, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Everton La Plata.

Head to head

When they last met (20 Jun 2026) it ended Everton La Plata 1–0 Alumni Los Hornos.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Alumni Los Hornos 1.3 xG, Everton La Plata 0.8 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Alumni Los Hornos 49%, draw 23%, Everton La Plata 27%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alumni Los Hornos 1–0 Everton La Plata. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Alumni Los Hornos49%fair 2.03 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.00
Everton La Plata27%fair 3.67 · @3.40
2.08Expected goals
1.25Alumni Los Hornos xG
0.82Everton La Plata xG
43%Both score
36%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
1–113%
0–013%
0–110%
2–010%
2–18%

From our goals model: Alumni Los Hornos 1.3 – 0.8 Everton La Plata expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAlumni Los Hornos to win ✗49%2.032.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.301.30
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓57%1.74–
Draw no betAlumni Los Hornos (draw no bet)64%1.55–
Asian handicapEverton La Plata +1 (Asian handicap) ✓72%1.39–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗61%1.63–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓64%1.561.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.06–
First team to scoreAlumni Los Hornos to score first ✗53%1.89–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓49%2.06–
Half-time / full-timeHT Alumni Los Hornos / FT Alumni Los Hornos ✗27%3.72–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16%6.36–

Recent results

Alumni Los Hornos – last 6

WLLWWL
12 Aug@ Ezeiza6–2W
9 Augvs Barrancas UMET0–2L
3 Aug@ Buenos Aires City1–4L
26 Julvs Control Orientado2–0W
11 Jul@ Uribelarrea1–0W
28 Junvs Las Mandarinas0–1L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Everton La Plata – last 6

LDLLLW
11 Augvs Las Mandarinas0–1L
4 Aug@ Ezeiza0–0D
25 Julvs Barrancas UMET0–1L
12 Jul@ Control Orientado0–1L
27 Jun@ Uribelarrea0–1L
20 Junvs Alumni Los Hornos1–0W
0.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 Jun 2026Everton La Plata v Alumni Los Hornos1–0
Alumni Los Hornos vs Everton La Plata head-to-head page →

Torneo Promocional Amateur table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1SAT Moreno141103+1533
2Defensores Glew141022+2932
3Deportivo Metalurgico141022+2232
4Barrancas UMET16943+831
5Uribelarrea16853+829
6Ezeiza16754+126
7Buenos Aires City16745+525
8Nautico Hacoaj14734+1324
9Belgrano Zarate16574+122
10Alumni Los Hornos16538-318
11Control Orientado16538-518
12Estrella de Berisso14437-615
13Everton La Plata16358-714
14Las Mandarinas164210-814
15Atletico Pilar14239-139
16Juventud de Bernal142210-318
17Provincial142111-297

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Alumni Los Hornos vs Everton La Plata?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Alumni Los Hornos vs Everton La Plata?

On our numbers Alumni Los Hornos have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Everton La Plata 27%.

How many goals will there be in Alumni Los Hornos vs Everton La Plata?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Alumni Los Hornos vs Everton La Plata?

Our predicted score is Alumni Los Hornos 1–0 Everton La Plata, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Alumni Los Hornos vs Everton La Plata?

Alumni Los Hornos vs Everton La Plata (Torneo Promocional Amateur) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.