Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultComo to win ✓57% · @1.80
Double chanceComo or draw ✓83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.58
Genoa vs Como: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Como travel to face Genoa on Friday 4 September in the Serie A, with Stadio Luigi Ferraris the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Genoa are 13th, lower half, on 13 points after 11 matches; Como are 5th (upper half) with 23.
Current form
Genoa, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Lazio, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Como, last 5: WDDDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Napoli, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 6. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Como, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Genoa.
Head to head
When they last met (26 Apr 2026) it ended Genoa 0–2 Como.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Genoa 0.7 xG, Como 1.5 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Genoa 17%, draw 26%, Como 57%.
Lower-risk option: Como or draw (83%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.05.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Genoa 0–1 Como. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Genoa17%fair 5.92 · @4.85
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @3.20
Como57%fair 1.74 · @1.80
2.18Expected goals
0.68Genoa xG
1.50Como xG
51%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–117%
0–213%
1–111%
0–011%
1–29%
1–08%
From our goals model: Genoa 0.7 – 1.5 Como expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Genoa vs Como?
On our numbers Genoa have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Como 57%.
How many goals will there be in Genoa vs Como?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Genoa vs Como?
Our predicted score is Genoa 0–1 Como, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Genoa vs Como?
Genoa vs Como (Serie A) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Luigi Ferraris.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
