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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Como v Parma: numbers & prediction

Serie A · Italy · Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia

Como

WWWDD
2–1
FT

Parma

DLLLW
Como 68%Draw 19%Parma 13% Expected goals 1.87 – 0.63
68%
Betarazi pick

Como to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultComo to win ✓68% · @1.20
Double chanceComo or draw ✓87% · @1.04
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.50

Como vs Parma: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Como welcome Parma to Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia for a Serie A fixture on Monday 14 September (17:30 WAT). In the table, Como are 5th, upper half, on 23 points after 11 matches; Parma are 16th (lower half) with 8. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Como, last 5: WWWDD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over RB Leipzig, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Parma, last 5: DLLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Monza, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Momentum favours Como, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.7 for Parma.

Head to head

When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Como 1–0 Parma.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Como 1.9 xG, Parma 0.6 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 49%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Como 68%, draw 19%, Parma 13%.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Como to win (68%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Como 1–0 Parma. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Como68%fair 1.47 · @1.20
Draw19%fair 5.19 · @5.80
Parma13%fair 7.97 · @13.00
2.50Expected goals
1.87Como xG
0.63Parma xG
49%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–08%

From our goals model: Como 1.9 – 0.6 Parma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultComo to win ✓68%1.471.20
Double chanceComo or draw ✓87%1.141.04
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.961.57
Draw no betComo (draw no bet) ✓84%1.18–
Asian handicapComo -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.84–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreComo to score first ✓69%1.45–
Half-time resultComo ahead at half-time ✓47%2.13–
Half-time / full-timeHT Como / FT Como ✓43%2.33–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15%6.50–

Recent results

Como – last 6

WWWDDD
10 Sepvs RB Leipzig4–1W
4 Sep@ Genoa4–1W
30 Aug@ Napoli2–1W
22 Aug@ Udinese1–1D
16 Aug@ Liverpool0–0D
12 Aug@ Arsenal1–1D
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Parma – last 6

DLLLWL
6 Sepvs Monza1–1D
1 Sepvs Cremonese0–2L
29 Aug@ Juventus0–2L
22 Augvs Cagliari0–1L
14 Augvs Catania2–0W
9 Augvs Sampdoria0–2L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 May 2026Como v Parma1–0
Como vs Parma head-to-head page →

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Lazio11920+1629
2Inter11911+1528
3AS Roma11830+2127
4AC Milan11731+1024
5Como11722+823
6Frosinone11623+920
7Juventus11533+318
8Bologna11524+217
9Cagliari11515-516
10Napoli11434+415
11Torino11425-214
12Atalanta11425-314
13Genoa11416-513
14Lecce11317-1010
15Fiorentina11236-89
16Parma11227-88
17Sassuolo11227-138
18Monza11218-87
19Venezia11209-136
20Udinese11128-135

More Serie A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Como vs Parma?

Our pick is Como to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Como vs Parma?

On our numbers Como have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Parma 13%.

How many goals will there be in Como vs Parma?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Como vs Parma?

Our predicted score is Como 1–0 Parma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Como vs Parma?

Como vs Parma (Serie A) kicks off on Monday 14 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.