Monza vs Sassuolo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sassuolo travel to face Monza on Friday 18 September in the Serie A, with U-Power Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Monza are 18th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 11 matches; Sassuolo are 17th (lower half) with 8. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Monza, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Lecce, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Sassuolo, last 5: WDDWL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Juventus, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours Sassuolo, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Monza.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Monza 1.9 xG, Sassuolo 2.1 xG – a total near 4.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 76% and GG at 69%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Monza 36%, draw 22%, Sassuolo 42%.
GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (69%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.46, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Monza 1–2 Sassuolo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Monza36%fair 2.77 · @2.80
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.30
Sassuolo42%fair 2.38 · @2.30
4.00Expected goals
1.92Monza xG
2.08Sassuolo xG
69%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–28%
1–17%
2–27%
2–17%
1–35%
2–35%
From our goals model: Monza 1.9 – 2.1 Sassuolo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sassuolo to win✗
42%
2.38
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
69%
1.46
1.62 ▲
Draw no bet
Sassuolo (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Monza +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
First team to score
Sassuolo to score first
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Sassuolo ahead at half-time✗
35%
2.84
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sassuolo / FT Sassuolo✗
26%
3.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
13.16
–
Recent results
Monza – last 6
LDWLLW
13 Sep
@ Lecce
2–3
L
6 Sep
@ Parma
1–1
D
1 Sep
@ Torino
1–0
W
29 Aug
vs Udinese
2–3
L
22 Aug
@ Inter
1–4
L
14 Aug
vs Avellino
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Sassuolo – last 6
WDDWLW
13 Sep
vs Juventus
3–2
W
6 Sep
@ Bologna
2–2
D
2 Sep
vs Frosinone
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs Torino
2–1
W
23 Aug
@ Atalanta
1–2
L
17 Aug
vs Cesena
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Monza and Sassuolo.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Monza vs Sassuolo?
On our numbers Monza have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sassuolo 42%.
How many goals will there be in Monza vs Sassuolo?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Monza vs Sassuolo?
Our predicted score is Monza 1–2 Sassuolo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Monza vs Sassuolo?
Monza vs Sassuolo (Serie A) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at U-Power Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
