Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultAtalanta to win ✓66% · @1.53
Double chanceAtalanta or draw ✓86% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.22
Atalanta vs Venezia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 12 October the Serie A brings Atalanta against Venezia at New Balance Arena. Kick-off: 17:30 WAT. In the table, Atalanta are 12th, lower half, on 14 points after 11 matches; Venezia are 19th (in the drop zone) with 6.
Current form
Atalanta, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Juventus, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Venezia, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Lazio, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Atalanta, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.0 for Venezia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atalanta 2.1 xG, Venezia 0.8 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 55% and GG at 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atalanta 66%, draw 19%, Venezia 14%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Atalanta to win (66%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atalanta 2–0 Venezia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atalanta66%fair 1.51 · @1.53
Draw19%fair 5.19 · @4.00
Venezia14%fair 6.96 · @5.80
2.90Expected goals
2.07Atalanta xG
0.83Venezia xG
57%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Atalanta 2.1 – 0.8 Venezia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atalanta to win✓
66%
1.51
1.53
Double chance
Atalanta or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.62
Draw no bet
Atalanta (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Atalanta -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
First team to score
Atalanta to score first
67%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Atalanta ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atalanta / FT Atalanta✓
43%
2.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.22
–
Recent results
Atalanta – last 6
LLLWWW
20 Sep
@ Juventus
0–2
L
12 Sep
vs Cagliari
1–2
L
5 Sep
@ AS Roma
1–2
L
31 Aug
vs Bologna
1–0
W
27 Aug
@ Hapoel Tel Aviv
1–0
W
23 Aug
vs Sassuolo
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Venezia – last 6
LLLLLL
19 Sep
vs Lazio
0–2
L
11 Sep
vs Fiorentina
2–4
L
6 Sep
@ Frosinone
2–3
L
2 Sep
@ Udinese
1–2
L
28 Aug
@ AC Milan
0–2
L
23 Aug
vs Lecce
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atalanta and Venezia.
Our pick is Atalanta to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Atalanta vs Venezia?
On our numbers Atalanta have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Venezia 14%.
How many goals will there be in Atalanta vs Venezia?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atalanta vs Venezia?
Our predicted score is Atalanta 2–0 Venezia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Atalanta vs Venezia?
Atalanta vs Venezia (Serie A) kicks off on Monday 12 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at New Balance Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
