Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
2
Value bet: Cagliari to win @ 3.00 – our chance 40% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCagliari to win ✗40% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.62
Monza vs Cagliari: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Monza welcome Cagliari to Stadio Brianteo for a Serie A fixture on Monday 19 October (17:30 WAT). In the table, Monza are 18th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 11 matches; Cagliari are 9th (upper half) with 16.
Current form
Monza, last 5: LDWLD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Lazio, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Cagliari, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Juventus, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Monza 1.3 xG, Cagliari 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Monza 36%, draw 24%, Cagliari 40%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Cagliari to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.68, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Monza 1–1 Cagliari. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Monza36%fair 2.81 · @2.38
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.00
Cagliari40%fair 2.49 · @3.00
2.75Expected goals
1.32Monza xG
1.43Cagliari xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–26%
From our goals model: Monza 1.3 – 1.4 Cagliari expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cagliari to win✗
40%
2.49
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.68
1.80 ▲
Draw no bet
Cagliari (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Monza +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Cagliari to score first✗
49%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cagliari / FT Cagliari✗
23%
4.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.62
–
Recent results
Monza – last 6
LDWLDW
11 Oct
@ Lazio
1–3
L
3 Oct
@ Stade Brestois 29
2–2
D
18 Sep
vs Sassuolo
2–1
W
13 Sep
@ Lecce
2–3
L
6 Sep
@ Parma
1–1
D
1 Sep
@ Torino
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Cagliari – last 6
DWWWLL
11 Oct
vs Juventus
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Udinese
1–0
W
12 Sep
@ Atalanta
2–1
W
7 Sep
vs Lecce
1–0
W
3 Sep
vs Hellas Verona
1–2
L
30 Aug
vs Inter
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Monza and Cagliari.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Monza vs Cagliari?
On our numbers Monza have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Cagliari 40%.
How many goals will there be in Monza vs Cagliari?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Monza vs Cagliari?
Our predicted score is Monza 1–1 Cagliari, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Monza vs Cagliari?
Monza vs Cagliari (Serie A) kicks off on Monday 19 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Brianteo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
