Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultFiorentina to win ✗43% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.55
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · fair 1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.98
Fiorentina vs Atalanta: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:45 WAT, Thursday 29 October: Fiorentina v Atalanta in the Serie A, played at Stadio Artemio Franchi. In the table, Fiorentina are 15th, lower half, on 9 points after 11 matches; Atalanta are 12th (lower half) with 14.
Current form
Fiorentina, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Inter, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Atalanta, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 4–4 draw with Frosinone, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Head to head
When they last met (22 May 2026) it ended Fiorentina 1–1 Atalanta.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fiorentina 1.9 xG, Atalanta 1.7 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 69% for three or more goals, 68% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fiorentina 43%, draw 21%, Atalanta 36%.
GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.55 – longer than our fair 1.47, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fiorentina 1–1 Atalanta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fiorentina43%fair 2.35 · @2.20
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.50
Atalanta36%fair 2.75 · @2.90
3.56Expected goals
1.86Fiorentina xG
1.70Atalanta xG
68%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–05%
3–15%
From our goals model: Fiorentina 1.9 – 1.7 Atalanta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Fiorentina vs Atalanta?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Fiorentina vs Atalanta?
On our numbers Fiorentina have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Atalanta 36%.
How many goals will there be in Fiorentina vs Atalanta?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fiorentina vs Atalanta?
Our predicted score is Fiorentina 1–1 Atalanta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Fiorentina vs Atalanta?
Fiorentina vs Atalanta (Serie A) kicks off on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Artemio Franchi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.