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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Fiorentina v Atalanta: numbers & prediction

Serie A · Italy · Stadio Artemio Franchi
2–2
FT
Fiorentina 43%Draw 21%Atalanta 36% Expected goals 1.86 – 1.70
68%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.55Odds

Picks by market

ResultFiorentina to win ✗43% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.55
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · fair 1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.98

Fiorentina vs Atalanta: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:45 WAT, Thursday 29 October: Fiorentina v Atalanta in the Serie A, played at Stadio Artemio Franchi. In the table, Fiorentina are 15th, lower half, on 9 points after 11 matches; Atalanta are 12th (lower half) with 14.

Current form

Fiorentina, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Inter, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Atalanta, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 4–4 draw with Frosinone, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Head to head

When they last met (22 May 2026) it ended Fiorentina 1–1 Atalanta.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Fiorentina 1.9 xG, Atalanta 1.7 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 69% for three or more goals, 68% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Fiorentina 43%, draw 21%, Atalanta 36%.
  • GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.55 – longer than our fair 1.47, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fiorentina 1–1 Atalanta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Fiorentina43%fair 2.35 · @2.20
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.50
Atalanta36%fair 2.75 · @2.90
3.56Expected goals
1.86Fiorentina xG
1.70Atalanta xG
68%Both score
69%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–05%
3–15%

From our goals model: Fiorentina 1.9 – 1.7 Atalanta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFiorentina to win ✗43%2.352.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79%1.271.29
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓68%1.471.55 ▲
Draw no betFiorentina (draw no bet)54%1.85–
Asian handicapAtalanta +1 (Asian handicap) ✓72%1.39–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗52%1.91–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
First team to scoreFiorentina to score first ✗51%1.97–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗36%2.80–
Half-time / full-timeHT Fiorentina / FT Fiorentina ✗26%3.91–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.98–

Recent results

Fiorentina – last 6

LLLDWW
25 Oct@ Inter1–2L
18 Octvs Como1–3L
10 Oct@ Genoa1–2L
20 Sepvs Napoli1–1D
15 Sepvs Pisa3–0W
11 Sep@ Venezia4–2W
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Atalanta – last 6

DLLWWL
25 Octvs Frosinone4–4D
22 Oct@ Ajax0–2L
18 Oct@ AC Milan2–3L
15 Octvs Pafos3–1W
12 Octvs Venezia3–1W
20 Sep@ Juventus0–2L
2.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 May 2026Fiorentina v Atalanta1–1
Fiorentina vs Atalanta head-to-head page →

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Lazio11920+1629
2Inter11911+1528
3AS Roma11830+2127
4AC Milan11731+1024
5Como11722+823
6Frosinone11623+920
7Juventus11533+318
8Bologna11524+217
9Cagliari11515-516
10Napoli11434+415
11Torino11425-214
12Atalanta11425-314
13Genoa11416-513
14Lecce11317-1010
15Fiorentina11236-89
16Parma11227-88
17Sassuolo11227-138
18Monza11218-87
19Venezia11209-136
20Udinese11128-135

More Serie A predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fiorentina vs Atalanta?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win Fiorentina vs Atalanta?

On our numbers Fiorentina have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Atalanta 36%.

How many goals will there be in Fiorentina vs Atalanta?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Fiorentina vs Atalanta?

Our predicted score is Fiorentina 1–1 Atalanta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Fiorentina vs Atalanta?

Fiorentina vs Atalanta (Serie A) kicks off on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Artemio Franchi.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.