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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Colón v Fenix: numbers & prediction

Colón

WLLDW
1–1
FT

Fenix

WDDLW
Colón 37%Draw 27%Fenix 36% Expected goals 1.30 – 1.06
67%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.44Odds
1

Value bet: Colón to win @ 3.20 – our chance 37% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultColón to win ✗37% · @3.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.82

Colón vs Fenix: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:00 WAT, Saturday 13 June: Colón v Fenix in the Segunda División. In the table, Colón are 3rd, among the top four, on 39 points after 25 matches; Fenix are 11th (lower half) with 31.

Current form

Colón, last 5: WLLDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Rentistas, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Fenix, last 5: WDDLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over CA River Plate, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Colón 1.3 xG, Fenix 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Colón 37%, draw 27%, Fenix 36%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.95.
  • Price worth noting: Colón to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 37%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (67%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Colón 1–1 Fenix. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Colón37%fair 2.69 · @3.20
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @3.10
Fenix36%fair 2.75 · @2.15
2.36Expected goals
1.30Colón xG
1.06Fenix xG
55%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–08%

From our goals model: Colón 1.3 – 1.1 Fenix expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

ColónFenix
Attack vs Segunda División average+8%-4%
Goals conceded vs average-7%+7%
Our expected goals here1.500.92

Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultColón to win ✗37%2.693.20 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73%1.361.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.801.95 ▲
Draw no betColón (draw no bet)51%1.98–
Asian handicapFenix +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.501.44
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓59%1.691.55
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.271.18
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreColón to score first ✗50%2.01–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT Colón / FT Colón ✗24%4.12–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.82–

Recent results

Colón – last 5

WLLDW
7 Jun@ Rentistas2–0W
30 Mayvs Miramar1–3L
24 May@ Tacuarembo0–2L
23 Mar@ Oriental0–0D
13 Mar@ Paysandu2–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5

Fenix – last 6

WDDLWW
6 Junvs CA River Plate3–1W
31 Mayvs Rentistas1–1D
25 May@ Miramar1–1D
17 Mayvs Tacuarembo1–2L
3 Mayvs Oriental1–0W
27 Apr@ Atenas4–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Colón and Fenix.

Colón vs Fenix head-to-head page →

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Oriental6411+313
2Plaza Colonia6330+712
3Fenix6321+611
4Sportivo Huracan6240+310
5Colón6231+39
6Uruguay Montevideo6231+29
7Rentistas6231+19
8Cerrito623109
9La Luz6141-17
10Miramar6123-45
11Paysandu6114-34
12Atenas6114-64
13CA River Plate6114-74
14Tacuarembo6033-43

More Segunda División predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Colón vs Fenix?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Colón vs Fenix?

On our numbers Colón have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Fenix 36%.

How many goals will there be in Colón vs Fenix?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Colón vs Fenix?

Our predicted score is Colón 1–1 Fenix, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Colón vs Fenix?

Colón vs Fenix (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 13 June 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.