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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Vilavelhense v Vitória ES: numbers & prediction

Copa Espírito Santo · Brazil

Vilavelhense

WDLLD
2–2
FT

Vitória ES

DLLDW
Vilavelhense 23%Draw 23%Vitória ES 54% Expected goals 1.11 – 1.48
54%
Betarazi pick

Vitória ES to win

Fair pick · fair odds 1.86 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultVitória ES to win ✗54% · @1.44
Double chanceVitória ES or draw ✓77% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · fair 1.98
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.98

Vilavelhense vs Vitória ES: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

22:45 WAT, Wednesday 17 June: Vilavelhense v Vitória ES in the Copa Espírito Santo.

Current form

Vilavelhense, last 5: WDLLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Vitória ES, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Vitória ES, last 5: DLLDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Tombense, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (3 Jun 2026) it ended Vilavelhense 1–0 Vitória ES.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Vilavelhense 1.1 xG, Vitória ES 1.5 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Vilavelhense 23%, draw 23%, Vitória ES 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Vitória ES to win (54%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vilavelhense 0–1 Vitória ES. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Vilavelhense23%fair 4.38 · @5.50
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @4.20
Vitória ES54%fair 1.86 · @1.44
2.59Expected goals
1.11Vilavelhense xG
1.48Vitória ES xG
50%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
0–08%

From our goals model: Vilavelhense 1.1 – 1.5 Vitória ES expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVitória ES to win ✗54%1.861.44
Double chanceVitória ES or draw ✓77%1.301.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓50%1.98–
Draw no betVitória ES (draw no bet)70%1.42–
Asian handicapVilavelhense +1 (Asian handicap) ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗52%1.931.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74%1.35–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
First team to scoreVitória ES to score first ✗53%1.89–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT Vitória ES / FT Vitória ES ✗27%3.70–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.98–

Recent results

Vilavelhense – last 5

WDLLD
3 Junvs Vitória ES1–0W
28 May@ Rio Branco ES1–1D
17 Mayvs Porto Vitória1–2L
15 Mar@ Serra Talhada0–1L
28 Febvs Desportiva ES1–1D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
20%Over 2.5

Vitória ES – last 6

DLLDWW
14 Jun@ Tombense0–0D
6 Junvs Rio Branco-VN0–1L
3 Jun@ Vilavelhense0–1L
30 Mayvs Real Noroeste1–1D
27 Mayvs Sport Brasil ES5–0W
24 May@ Rio Branco ES2–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Jun 2026Vilavelhense v Vitória ES1–0
Vilavelhense vs Vitória ES head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Vilavelhense vs Vitória ES?

Our pick is Vitória ES to win with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Vilavelhense vs Vitória ES?

On our numbers Vilavelhense have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Vitória ES 54%.

How many goals will there be in Vilavelhense vs Vitória ES?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Vilavelhense vs Vitória ES?

Our predicted score is Vilavelhense 0–1 Vitória ES, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Vilavelhense vs Vitória ES?

Vilavelhense vs Vitória ES (Copa Espírito Santo) kicks off on Wednesday 17 June 2026 at 22:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.