Necaxa vs Atlante FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Necaxa welcome Atlante FC to Estadio Victoria for a Liga MX fixture on Friday 17 July (02:00 WAT). In the table, Necaxa are 17th, in the drop zone, on 13 points after 16 matches; Atlante FC are 16th (in the drop zone) with 14. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Necaxa, last 5: DDWWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Leon, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Atlante FC, last 5: DDDLW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Toluca, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Necaxa 1.5 xG, Atlante FC 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Necaxa 49%, draw 25%, Atlante FC 26%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Necaxa 1–1 Atlante FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Necaxa49%fair 2.05 · @1.90
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.60
Atlante FC26%fair 3.86 · @3.75
2.62Expected goals
1.50Necaxa xG
1.12Atlante FC xG
61%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Necaxa 1.5 – 1.1 Atlante FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Necaxa
Atlante FC
Attack vs Liga MX average
-26%
-26%
Goals conceded vs average
+7%
+10%
Our expected goals here
1.30
1.11
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Necaxa to win✓
49%
2.05
1.90
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.60
Draw no bet
Necaxa (draw no bet)✓
65%
1.53
–
Asian handicap
Atlante FC +1 (Asian handicap)
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.17
First team to score
Necaxa to score first
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Necaxa / FT Necaxa✗
27%
3.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
10.91
–
Recent results
Necaxa – last 6
DDWWLD
11 Jul
@ Leon
0–0
D
4 Jul
@ Atlas
0–0
D
1 Jul
@ Correcaminos Uat
6–3
W
20 Jun
vs Monarcas
1–0
W
27 Apr
@ Cruz Azul
1–4
L
23 Apr
vs Guadalajara Chivas
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Atlante FC – last 6
DDDLWD
10 Jul
vs Toluca
3–3
D
4 Jul
vs Monterrey
1–1
D
2 Jul
@ New Mexico United
3–3
D
28 Jun
@ FC Juarez
0–2
L
24 Apr
vs Tepatitlán
2–0
W
18 Apr
vs CA La Paz
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Necaxa and Atlante FC.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Necaxa vs Atlante FC?
On our numbers Necaxa have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Atlante FC 26%.
How many goals will there be in Necaxa vs Atlante FC?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Necaxa vs Atlante FC?
Our predicted score is Necaxa 1–1 Atlante FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Necaxa vs Atlante FC?
Necaxa vs Atlante FC (Liga MX) kicks off on Friday 17 July 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Victoria.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
