Club Tijuana 52%Draw 22%Leon 26%Expected goals 1.95 – 1.41
82%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultClub Tijuana to win ✓52% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.73
Club Tijuana vs Leon: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Leon travel to face Club Tijuana on Saturday 25 July in the Liga MX, with Estadio Caliente the venue – the ball rolls at 04:00 WAT.
Current form
Club Tijuana, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Tigres UANL, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Leon, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Atlas, at home. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Club Tijuana, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.2 for Leon.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended Leon 0–3 Club Tijuana.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Club Tijuana 2.0 xG, Leon 1.4 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Club Tijuana 52%, draw 22%, Leon 26%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (82%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Club Tijuana 1–1 Leon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Club Tijuana52%fair 1.91 · @1.90
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.75
Leon26%fair 3.85 · @3.60
3.36Expected goals
1.95Club Tijuana xG
1.41Leon xG
62%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–07%
1–27%
2–07%
2–27%
From our goals model: Club Tijuana 2.0 – 1.4 Leon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Club Tijuana
Leon
Attack vs Liga MX average
+0%
-3%
Goals conceded vs average
-10%
-3%
Our expected goals here
1.57
1.22
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Club Tijuana vs Leon?
On our numbers Club Tijuana have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Leon 26%.
How many goals will there be in Club Tijuana vs Leon?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Club Tijuana vs Leon?
Our predicted score is Club Tijuana 1–1 Leon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Club Tijuana vs Leon?
Club Tijuana vs Leon (Liga MX) kicks off on Saturday 25 July 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Caliente.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
