FC Juarez 17%Draw 23%CF Pachuca 60%Expected goals 1.06 – 2.11
83%
Betarazi pick
CF Pachuca or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: CF Pachuca to win @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCF Pachuca to win ✓60% · @1.95
Double chanceCF Pachuca or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.09
FC Juarez vs CF Pachuca: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 5 September the Liga MX brings FC Juarez against CF Pachuca. Kick-off: 04:00 WAT. In the table, FC Juarez are 18th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 16 matches; CF Pachuca are 8th (upper half) with 22.
Current form
FC Juarez, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Toluca, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.
CF Pachuca, last 5: DDLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Guadalajara Chivas, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Juarez 1.1 xG, CF Pachuca 2.1 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Juarez 17%, draw 23%, CF Pachuca 60%.
Lower-risk option: CF Pachuca or draw (83%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: CF Pachuca to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was CF Pachuca or draw (83%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.20, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Juarez 1–2 CF Pachuca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Juarez17%fair 5.91 · @3.30
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.10
CF Pachuca60%fair 1.67 · @1.95
3.17Expected goals
1.06FC Juarez xG
2.11CF Pachuca xG
59%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–19%
0–29%
0–19%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: FC Juarez 1.1 – 2.1 CF Pachuca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CF Pachuca to win✓
60%
1.67
1.95 ▲
Double chance
CF Pachuca or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.70
Draw no bet
CF Pachuca (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
CF Pachuca -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
First team to score
CF Pachuca to score first✓
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
CF Pachuca ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CF Pachuca / FT CF Pachuca✗
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.09
–
Recent results
FC Juarez – last 6
LLLLWW
31 Aug
@ Toluca
0–4
L
22 Aug
vs Club America
1–2
L
16 Aug
@ Monterrey
1–6
L
12 Aug
@ Real Salt Lake
0–3
L
8 Aug
@ Vancouver Whitecaps
3–1
W
5 Aug
@ Minnesota United FC
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
CF Pachuca – last 6
DDLWLL
30 Aug
vs Guadalajara Chivas
1–1
D
24 Aug
@ Atletico San Luis
1–1
D
18 Aug
vs Puebla
2–3
L
12 Aug
@ Charlotte
1–0
W
8 Aug
@ Columbus Crew
1–2
L
5 Aug
@ FC Cincinnati
1–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Juarez and CF Pachuca.
What is the prediction for FC Juarez vs CF Pachuca?
Our pick is CF Pachuca or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win FC Juarez vs CF Pachuca?
On our numbers FC Juarez have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 23% and CF Pachuca 60%.
How many goals will there be in FC Juarez vs CF Pachuca?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Juarez vs CF Pachuca?
Our predicted score is FC Juarez 1–2 CF Pachuca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is FC Juarez vs CF Pachuca?
FC Juarez vs CF Pachuca (Liga MX) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
