Atletico San Luis 19%Draw 24%Guadalajara Chivas 58%Expected goals 0.93 – 1.82
81%
Betarazi pick
Guadalajara Chivas or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultGuadalajara Chivas to win ✓58% · @1.73
Double chanceGuadalajara Chivas or draw ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.16
Atletico San Luis vs Guadalajara Chivas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Guadalajara Chivas travel to face Atletico San Luis on Sunday 6 September in the Liga MX, with Estadio Libertad Financiera the venue – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT. In the table, Atletico San Luis are 14th, lower half, on 19 points after 16 matches; Guadalajara Chivas are 3rd (among the top four) with 30.
Current form
Atletico San Luis, last 5: WDLDL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Monterrey, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Guadalajara Chivas, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with CF Pachuca, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Guadalajara Chivas, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Atletico San Luis.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atletico San Luis 0.9 xG, Guadalajara Chivas 1.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico San Luis 19%, draw 24%, Guadalajara Chivas 58%.
Lower-risk option: Guadalajara Chivas or draw (81%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Guadalajara Chivas or draw (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico San Luis 0–1 Guadalajara Chivas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atletico San Luis19%fair 5.39 · @3.90
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.50
Guadalajara Chivas58%fair 1.73 · @1.73
2.75Expected goals
0.93Atletico San Luis xG
1.82Guadalajara Chivas xG
61%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
1–111%
0–211%
1–210%
0–36%
0–06%
From our goals model: Atletico San Luis 0.9 – 1.8 Guadalajara Chivas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guadalajara Chivas to win✓
58%
1.73
1.73
Double chance
Guadalajara Chivas or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.64
1.57
Draw no bet
Guadalajara Chivas (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Atletico San Luis +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Guadalajara Chivas to score first✓
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Guadalajara Chivas ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guadalajara Chivas / FT Guadalajara Chivas✓
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.16
–
Recent results
Atletico San Luis – last 6
WDLDLL
31 Aug
@ Monterrey
3–1
W
24 Aug
vs CF Pachuca
1–1
D
17 Aug
@ Club America
0–3
L
13 Aug
@ Orlando City SC
2–2
D
10 Aug
@ Nashville SC
1–4
L
6 Aug
@ Inter Miami
2–4
L
1.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Guadalajara Chivas – last 6
DWWWLD
30 Aug
@ CF Pachuca
1–1
D
23 Aug
vs Club Tijuana
5–2
W
17 Aug
@ Santos Laguna
1–0
W
13 Aug
@ Seattle Sounders
2–1
W
9 Aug
vs FC Dallas
0–1
L
6 Aug
@ Los Angeles FC
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico San Luis and Guadalajara Chivas.
What is the prediction for Atletico San Luis vs Guadalajara Chivas?
Our pick is Guadalajara Chivas or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Atletico San Luis vs Guadalajara Chivas?
On our numbers Atletico San Luis have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Guadalajara Chivas 58%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico San Luis vs Guadalajara Chivas?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico San Luis vs Guadalajara Chivas?
Our predicted score is Atletico San Luis 0–1 Guadalajara Chivas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Atletico San Luis vs Guadalajara Chivas?
Atletico San Luis vs Guadalajara Chivas (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Libertad Financiera.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
