Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultU.N.A.M. - Pumas to win ✓45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.44
U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Leon: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
04:05 WAT, Friday 11 September: U.N.A.M. - Pumas v Leon in the Liga MX.
Current form
U.N.A.M. - Pumas, last 5: LDDDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Club Tijuana, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Leon, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Club America, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Leon, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.5 for U.N.A.M. - Pumas.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1.4 xG, Leon 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – U.N.A.M. - Pumas 45%, draw 21%, Leon 33%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1–1 Leon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
U.N.A.M. - Pumas45%fair 2.21 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.30
Leon33%fair 3.01 · @3.10
2.50Expected goals
1.38U.N.A.M. - Pumas xG
1.12Leon xG
61%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1.4 – 1.1 Leon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
U.N.A.M. - Pumas to win✓
45%
2.21
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.62
Draw no bet
U.N.A.M. - Pumas (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.73
–
Asian handicap
Leon +1 (Asian handicap)✗
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
U.N.A.M. - Pumas to score first✓
51%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT U.N.A.M. - Pumas / FT U.N.A.M. - Pumas✓
25%
4.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.44
–
Recent results
U.N.A.M. - Pumas – last 6
LDDDLL
29 Aug
@ Club Tijuana
0–2
L
24 Aug
vs Necaxa
1–1
D
16 Aug
vs Club Queretaro
0–0
D
12 Aug
@ Columbus Crew
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ FC Cincinnati
0–2
L
5 Aug
@ Charlotte
0–3
L
0.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Leon – last 6
WLDWWW
6 Sep
vs Club America
1–0
W
3 Sep
@ Toluca
0–2
L
29 Aug
@ Atlante FC
1–1
D
26 Aug
vs Real Salt Lake
3–0
W
22 Aug
vs Monterrey
2–0
W
18 Aug
@ Necaxa
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between U.N.A.M. - Pumas and Leon.
What is the prediction for U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Leon?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Leon?
On our numbers U.N.A.M. - Pumas have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Leon 33%.
How many goals will there be in U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Leon?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Leon?
Our predicted score is U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1–1 Leon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Leon?
U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Leon (Liga MX) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 04:05 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
