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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Guadalajara Chivas v U.N.A.M. - Pumas: numbers & prediction

Liga MX · Mexico · Estadio Akron

Guadalajara Chivas

WDWWW
3–0
FT

U.N.A.M. - Pumas

WLDDD
Guadalajara Chivas 67%Draw 20%U.N.A.M. - Pumas 12% Expected goals 2.00 – 0.71
67%
Betarazi pick

Guadalajara Chivas to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultGuadalajara Chivas to win ✓67% · @1.44
Double chanceGuadalajara Chivas or draw ✓88% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.56

Guadalajara Chivas vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Monday 14 September the Liga MX brings Guadalajara Chivas against U.N.A.M. - Pumas at Estadio Akron. Kick-off: 02:07 WAT. In the table, Guadalajara Chivas are 3rd, among the top four, on 30 points after 16 matches; U.N.A.M. - Pumas are 11th (lower half) with 21.

Current form

Guadalajara Chivas, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Atletico San Luis, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

U.N.A.M. - Pumas, last 5: WLDDD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Leon, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Guadalajara Chivas, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for U.N.A.M. - Pumas.

Head to head

When they last met (6 Apr 2026) it ended Guadalajara Chivas 2–2 U.N.A.M. - Pumas.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Guadalajara Chivas 2.0 xG, U.N.A.M. - Pumas 0.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Guadalajara Chivas 67%, draw 20%, U.N.A.M. - Pumas 12%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Guadalajara Chivas to win (67%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guadalajara Chivas 1–0 U.N.A.M. - Pumas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Guadalajara Chivas67%fair 1.49 · @1.44
Draw20%fair 4.88 · @3.90
U.N.A.M. - Pumas12%fair 8.18 · @5.00
2.71Expected goals
2.00Guadalajara Chivas xG
0.71U.N.A.M. - Pumas xG
55%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
2–013%
1–19%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%

From our goals model: Guadalajara Chivas 2.0 – 0.7 U.N.A.M. - Pumas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGuadalajara Chivas to win ✓67%1.491.44
Double chanceGuadalajara Chivas or draw ✓88%1.141.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.831.70
Draw no betGuadalajara Chivas (draw no bet) ✓85%1.18–
Asian handicapGuadalajara Chivas -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓51%1.97–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
First team to scoreGuadalajara Chivas to score first ✓69%1.46–
Half-time resultGuadalajara Chivas ahead at half-time ✓48%2.09–
Half-time / full-timeHT Guadalajara Chivas / FT Guadalajara Chivas ✓44%2.30–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.56–

Recent results

Guadalajara Chivas – last 6

WDWWWL
6 Sep@ Atletico San Luis3–0W
30 Aug@ CF Pachuca1–1D
23 Augvs Club Tijuana5–2W
17 Aug@ Santos Laguna1–0W
13 Aug@ Seattle Sounders2–1W
9 Augvs FC Dallas0–1L
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

U.N.A.M. - Pumas – last 6

WLDDDL
11 Sepvs Leon3–1W
29 Aug@ Club Tijuana0–2L
24 Augvs Necaxa1–1D
16 Augvs Club Queretaro0–0D
12 Aug@ Columbus Crew1–1D
8 Aug@ FC Cincinnati0–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Apr 2026Guadalajara Chivas v U.N.A.M. - Pumas2–2
Guadalajara Chivas vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas head-to-head page →

Liga MX table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cruz Azul161024+1132
2Club America16862+1530
3Guadalajara Chivas16862+1130
4Toluca16763+1427
5Atlas16835-327
6Santos Laguna16817+325
7Club Leon16655+223
8CF Pachuca16646+922
9Club Tijuana16574+322
10Monterrey15636+121
11U.N.A.M. - Pumas16565-221
12Club Queretaro15627-520
13Puebla16547-419
14Atletico San Luis16547-519
15Tigres UANL16367-815
16Atlante FC16358-1014
17Necaxa16349-1113
18FC Juarez163211-2111

More Liga MX predictions

League hub
FT Santos Laguna2 FC Juarez1 159%1.91X20%3.25221%3.30 1.9–1.0xG 1Santos Laguna to win 59%@1.91 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Guadalajara Chivas vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?

Our pick is Guadalajara Chivas to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Guadalajara Chivas vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?

On our numbers Guadalajara Chivas have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and U.N.A.M. - Pumas 12%.

How many goals will there be in Guadalajara Chivas vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Guadalajara Chivas vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?

Our predicted score is Guadalajara Chivas 1–0 U.N.A.M. - Pumas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Guadalajara Chivas vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?

Guadalajara Chivas vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas (Liga MX) kicks off on Monday 14 September 2026 at 02:07 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Akron.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.