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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FC Juarez v Tigres UANL: numbers & prediction

Liga MX · Mexico · Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez
2–0
FT
FC Juarez 18%Draw 22%Tigres UANL 59% Expected goals 0.99 – 1.95
82%
Betarazi pick

Tigres UANL or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2

Value bet: Tigres UANL to win @ 1.83 – our chance 59% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultTigres UANL to win ✗59% · @1.83
Double chanceTigres UANL or draw ✗82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.05

FC Juarez vs Tigres UANL: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Tigres UANL travel to face FC Juarez on Saturday 19 September in the Liga MX, with Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez the venue – the ball rolls at 04:00 WAT. In the table, FC Juarez are 18th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 16 matches; Tigres UANL are 15th (lower half) with 15.

Current form

FC Juarez, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Santos Laguna, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Tigres UANL, last 5: DDDWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Monterrey, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Tigres UANL, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.0 for FC Juarez.

Head to head

When they last met (23 Mar 2026) it ended FC Juarez 2–1 Tigres UANL.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC Juarez 1.0 xG, Tigres UANL 1.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FC Juarez 18%, draw 22%, Tigres UANL 59%.
  • Lower-risk option: Tigres UANL or draw (82%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.65.
  • Price worth noting: Tigres UANL to win @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 59%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Tigres UANL or draw (82%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Juarez 0–1 Tigres UANL. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FC Juarez18%fair 5.45 · @3.75
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.20
Tigres UANL59%fair 1.69 · @1.83
2.94Expected goals
0.99FC Juarez xG
1.95Tigres UANL xG
59%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–110%
1–110%
0–210%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%

From our goals model: FC Juarez 1.0 – 1.9 Tigres UANL expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTigres UANL to win ✗59%1.691.83 ▲
Double chanceTigres UANL or draw ✗82%1.221.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.691.65
Draw no betTigres UANL (draw no bet) ✗76%1.31–
Asian handicapFC Juarez +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.26–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗56%1.78–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
First team to scoreTigres UANL to score first ✗63%1.59–
Half-time resultTigres UANL ahead at half-time ✗44%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tigres UANL / FT Tigres UANL ✗38%2.65–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.05–

Recent results

FC Juarez – last 6

LLLLLL
14 Sep@ Santos Laguna1–2L
5 Sepvs CF Pachuca0–2L
31 Aug@ Toluca0–4L
22 Augvs Club America1–2L
16 Aug@ Monterrey1–6L
12 Aug@ Real Salt Lake0–3L
0.5Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Tigres UANL – last 6

DDDWLD
13 Sep@ Monterrey0–0D
6 Sepvs Necaxa1–1D
30 Aug@ Santos Laguna0–0D
22 Augvs Atlante FC2–0W
16 Aug@ Atlas1–2L
12 Augvs Vancouver Whitecaps1–1D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 Mar 2026FC Juarez v Tigres UANL2–1
FC Juarez vs Tigres UANL head-to-head page →

Liga MX table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cruz Azul161024+1132
2Club America16862+1530
3Guadalajara Chivas16862+1130
4Toluca16763+1427
5Atlas16835-327
6Santos Laguna16817+325
7Club Leon16655+223
8CF Pachuca16646+922
9Club Tijuana16574+322
10Monterrey15636+121
11U.N.A.M. - Pumas16565-221
12Club Queretaro15627-520
13Puebla16547-419
14Atletico San Luis16547-519
15Tigres UANL16367-815
16Atlante FC16358-1014
17Necaxa16349-1113
18FC Juarez163211-2111

More Liga MX predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Juarez vs Tigres UANL?

Our pick is Tigres UANL or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win FC Juarez vs Tigres UANL?

On our numbers FC Juarez have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tigres UANL 59%.

How many goals will there be in FC Juarez vs Tigres UANL?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Juarez vs Tigres UANL?

Our predicted score is FC Juarez 0–1 Tigres UANL, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is FC Juarez vs Tigres UANL?

FC Juarez vs Tigres UANL (Liga MX) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.