Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultTigres UANL to win ✓61% · @1.55
Double chanceTigres UANL or draw ✓85% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.79
Tigres UANL vs Puebla: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tigres UANL welcome Puebla to Estadio Universitario for a Liga MX fixture on Sunday 27 September (04:10 WAT). In the table, Tigres UANL are 15th, lower half, on 15 points after 16 matches; Puebla are 13th (lower half) with 19.
Current form
Tigres UANL, last 5: LDDDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to FC Juarez, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Puebla, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Atlante FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Puebla, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Tigres UANL.
Head to head
When they last met (5 Mar 2026) it ended Puebla 3–1 Tigres UANL.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tigres UANL 1.7 xG, Puebla 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tigres UANL 61%, draw 24%, Puebla 15%.
Lower-risk option: Tigres UANL or draw (85%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Tigres UANL to win (61%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tigres UANL 1–0 Puebla. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tigres UANL61%fair 1.64 · @1.55
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.80
Puebla15%fair 6.89 · @4.75
2.44Expected goals
1.73Tigres UANL xG
0.71Puebla xG
53%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%
From our goals model: Tigres UANL 1.7 – 0.7 Puebla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Tigres UANL to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Tigres UANL vs Puebla?
On our numbers Tigres UANL have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Puebla 15%.
How many goals will there be in Tigres UANL vs Puebla?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tigres UANL vs Puebla?
Our predicted score is Tigres UANL 1–0 Puebla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Tigres UANL vs Puebla?
Tigres UANL vs Puebla (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 04:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Universitario.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
