Leon 63%Draw 21%FC Juarez 17%Expected goals 1.95 – 0.88
63%
Betarazi pick
Leon to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultLeon to win ✓63% · @1.50
Double chanceLeon or draw ✓83% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.13
Leon vs FC Juarez: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 28 September the Liga MX brings Leon against FC Juarez at Estadio León. Kick-off: 02:00 WAT.
Current form
Leon, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Club Queretaro, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
FC Juarez, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Tigres UANL, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Leon, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for FC Juarez.
Head to head
When they last met (19 Apr 2026) it ended Leon 3–1 FC Juarez.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Leon 1.9 xG, FC Juarez 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Leon 63%, draw 21%, FC Juarez 17%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Leon to win (63%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leon 1–0 FC Juarez. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Leon63%fair 1.60 · @1.50
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.75
FC Juarez17%fair 5.99 · @5.50
2.83Expected goals
1.95Leon xG
0.88FC Juarez xG
57%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Leon 1.9 – 0.9 FC Juarez expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Leon to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Leon vs FC Juarez?
On our numbers Leon have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FC Juarez 17%.
How many goals will there be in Leon vs FC Juarez?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leon vs FC Juarez?
Our predicted score is Leon 1–0 FC Juarez, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Leon vs FC Juarez?
Leon vs FC Juarez (Liga MX) kicks off on Monday 28 September 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio León.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
