Leon travel to face Puebla on Saturday 10 October in the Liga MX, with Estadio Cuauhtémoc the venue – the ball rolls at 02:00 WAT.
Current form
Puebla, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Tigres UANL, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Leon, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over FC Juarez, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Leon, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Puebla.
Head to head
When they last met (11 Apr 2026) it ended Puebla 0–1 Leon.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Puebla 1.1 xG, Leon 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Puebla 33%, draw 23%, Leon 44%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Puebla 1–1 Leon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Puebla33%fair 3.03 · @2.80
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.00
Leon44%fair 2.28 · @2.30
2.40Expected goals
1.09Puebla xG
1.31Leon xG
56%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Puebla 1.1 – 1.3 Leon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Puebla vs Leon?
On our numbers Puebla have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Leon 44%.
How many goals will there be in Puebla vs Leon?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Puebla vs Leon?
Our predicted score is Puebla 1–1 Leon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Puebla vs Leon?
Puebla vs Leon (Liga MX) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Cuauhtémoc.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
