Club Tijuana 59%Draw 24%Puebla 18%Expected goals 1.73 – 0.84
82%
Betarazi pick
Club Tijuana or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultClub Tijuana to win ✗59% · @1.67
Double chanceClub Tijuana or draw ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.40
Club Tijuana vs Puebla: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 17 October the Liga MX brings Club Tijuana against Puebla at Estadio Caliente . Kick-off: 04:05 WAT. In the table, Club Tijuana are 9th, upper half, on 22 points after 16 matches; Puebla are 13th (lower half) with 19. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Club Tijuana, last 5: DLDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with FC Juarez, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Puebla, last 5: DLDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Leon, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Club Tijuana 1.7 xG, Puebla 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Club Tijuana 59%, draw 24%, Puebla 18%.
Lower-risk option: Club Tijuana or draw (82%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Club Tijuana or draw (82%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Club Tijuana 1–0 Puebla. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Club Tijuana59%fair 1.70 · @1.67
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.50
Puebla18%fair 5.62 · @4.20
2.57Expected goals
1.73Club Tijuana xG
0.84Puebla xG
58%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Club Tijuana 1.7 – 0.8 Puebla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Club Tijuana to win✗
59%
1.70
1.67
Double chance
Club Tijuana or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.65
Draw no bet
Club Tijuana (draw no bet)
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Puebla +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Club Tijuana to score first✗
62%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Club Tijuana / FT Club Tijuana✗
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.40
–
Recent results
Club Tijuana – last 6
DLDLWL
11 Oct
@ FC Juarez
1–1
D
26 Sep
vs Atlas
2–3
L
21 Sep
@ CF Pachuca
2–2
D
12 Sep
vs Club Queretaro
0–1
L
29 Aug
vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2–0
W
23 Aug
@ Guadalajara Chivas
2–5
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Puebla – last 6
DLDLWL
10 Oct
vs Leon
1–1
D
27 Sep
@ Tigres UANL
0–1
L
19 Sep
vs Atlante FC
1–1
D
16 Sep
vs Toluca
0–1
L
12 Sep
@ Necaxa
1–0
W
30 Aug
@ Club America
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Club Tijuana and Puebla.
What is the prediction for Club Tijuana vs Puebla?
Our pick is Club Tijuana or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Club Tijuana vs Puebla?
On our numbers Club Tijuana have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Puebla 18%.
How many goals will there be in Club Tijuana vs Puebla?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Club Tijuana vs Puebla?
Our predicted score is Club Tijuana 1–0 Puebla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Club Tijuana vs Puebla?
Club Tijuana vs Puebla (Liga MX) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 04:05 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Caliente .
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.