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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Monterrey v CF Pachuca: numbers & prediction

Liga MX · Mexico · Estadio BBVA
2–1
FT
Monterrey 67%Draw 20%CF Pachuca 14% Expected goals 2.17 – 0.88
67%
Betarazi pick

Monterrey to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultMonterrey to win ✓67% · @1.57
Double chanceMonterrey or draw ✓86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.20

Monterrey vs CF Pachuca: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Monday 19 October the Liga MX brings Monterrey against CF Pachuca at Estadio BBVA. Kick-off: 02:00 WAT. In the table, Monterrey are 10th, lower half, on 21 points after 15 matches; CF Pachuca are 8th (upper half) with 22. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Monterrey, last 5: DLWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Club America, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

CF Pachuca, last 5: DLDWW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Necaxa, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours CF Pachuca, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Monterrey.

Head to head

When they last met (19 Apr 2026) it ended Monterrey 1–3 Pachuca.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Monterrey 2.2 xG, CF Pachuca 0.9 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Monterrey 67%, draw 20%, CF Pachuca 14%.
  • Lower-risk option: Monterrey or draw (86%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.60.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Monterrey to win (67%, odds 1.57 – longer than our fair 1.50, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Monterrey 2–0 CF Pachuca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Monterrey67%fair 1.50 · @1.57
Draw20%fair 5.10 · @3.70
CF Pachuca14%fair 7.33 · @4.60
3.05Expected goals
2.17Monterrey xG
0.88CF Pachuca xG
58%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Monterrey 2.2 – 0.9 CF Pachuca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMonterrey to win ✓67%1.501.57
Double chanceMonterrey or draw ✓86%1.161.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.721.60
Draw no betMonterrey (draw no bet) ✓83%1.20–
Asian handicapMonterrey -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓59%1.70–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
First team to scoreMonterrey to score first ✓68%1.47–
Half-time resultMonterrey ahead at half-time ✓49%2.05–
Half-time / full-timeHT Monterrey / FT Monterrey ✓44%2.28–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10%10.20–

Recent results

Monterrey – last 6

DLWDLD
11 Oct@ Club America1–1D
26 Sep@ Atlante FC2–4L
20 Sepvs Cruz Azul1–0W
13 Sepvs Tigres UANL0–0D
7 Sep@ Toluca0–2L
3 Sep@ Club America2–2D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

CF Pachuca – last 6

DLDWWD
12 Octvs Necaxa3–3D
27 Sep@ Santos Laguna0–1L
21 Sepvs Club Tijuana2–2D
12 Sep@ Atlante FC3–0W
5 Sep@ FC Juarez2–0W
30 Augvs Guadalajara Chivas1–1D
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

19 Apr 2026Monterrey v Pachuca1–3
Monterrey vs CF Pachuca head-to-head page →

Liga MX table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cruz Azul161024+1132
2Club America16862+1530
3Guadalajara Chivas16862+1130
4Toluca16763+1427
5Atlas16835-327
6Santos Laguna16817+325
7Club Leon16655+223
8CF Pachuca16646+922
9Club Tijuana16574+322
10Monterrey15636+121
11U.N.A.M. - Pumas16565-221
12Club Queretaro15627-520
13Puebla16547-419
14Atletico San Luis16547-519
15Tigres UANL16367-815
16Atlante FC16358-1014
17Necaxa16349-1113
18FC Juarez163211-2111

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Monterrey vs CF Pachuca?

Our pick is Monterrey to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Monterrey vs CF Pachuca?

On our numbers Monterrey have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and CF Pachuca 14%.

How many goals will there be in Monterrey vs CF Pachuca?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Monterrey vs CF Pachuca?

Our predicted score is Monterrey 2–0 CF Pachuca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Monterrey vs CF Pachuca?

Monterrey vs CF Pachuca (Liga MX) kicks off on Monday 19 October 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio BBVA.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.