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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Monterrey v Guadalajara Chivas: numbers & prediction

Liga MX · Mexico · Estadio BBVA
0–1
FT
Monterrey 41%Draw 23%Guadalajara Chivas 36% Expected goals 1.49 – 1.39
63%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.60Odds

Picks by market

ResultMonterrey to win ✗41% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.54

Monterrey vs Guadalajara Chivas: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

03:00 WAT, Sunday 25 October: Monterrey v Guadalajara Chivas in the Liga MX, played at Estadio BBVA. In the table, Monterrey are 10th, lower half, on 21 points after 15 matches; Guadalajara Chivas are 3rd (among the top four) with 30.

Current form

Monterrey, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Puebla, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Guadalajara Chivas, last 5: WDDWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Necaxa, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Mar 2026) it ended Monterrey 2–3 Guadalajara Chivas.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Monterrey 1.5 xG, Guadalajara Chivas 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 63%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Monterrey 41%, draw 23%, Guadalajara Chivas 36%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.60.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Monterrey 1–1 Guadalajara Chivas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Monterrey41%fair 2.46 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.00
Guadalajara Chivas36%fair 2.77 · @2.80
2.88Expected goals
1.49Monterrey xG
1.39Guadalajara Chivas xG
63%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%

From our goals model: Monterrey 1.5 – 1.4 Guadalajara Chivas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMonterrey to win ✗41%2.462.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗63%1.571.60
Draw no betMonterrey (draw no bet) ✗53%1.89–
Asian handicapGuadalajara Chivas +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78%1.28–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗55%1.82–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.48–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.20–
First team to scoreMonterrey to score first ✗49%2.05–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.46–
Half-time / full-timeHT Monterrey / FT Monterrey ✗23%4.26–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.54–

Recent results

Monterrey – last 6

WWDLWD
22 Oct@ Puebla4–1W
19 Octvs CF Pachuca2–1W
11 Oct@ Club America1–1D
26 Sep@ Atlante FC2–4L
20 Sepvs Cruz Azul1–0W
13 Sepvs Tigres UANL0–0D
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Guadalajara Chivas – last 6

WDDWLD
21 Octvs Necaxa1–0W
18 Octvs Tigres UANL1–1D
11 Oct@ Atlas1–1D
5 Octvs Club America2–0W
27 Sepvs Club Queretaro0–2L
20 Sep@ Club America2–2D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Mar 2026Monterrey v Guadalajara Chivas2–3
Monterrey vs Guadalajara Chivas head-to-head page →

Liga MX table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cruz Azul161024+1132
2Club America16862+1530
3Guadalajara Chivas16862+1130
4Toluca16763+1427
5Atlas16835-327
6Santos Laguna16817+325
7Club Leon16655+223
8CF Pachuca16646+922
9Club Tijuana16574+322
10Monterrey15636+121
11U.N.A.M. - Pumas16565-221
12Club Queretaro15627-520
13Puebla16547-419
14Atletico San Luis16547-519
15Tigres UANL16367-815
16Atlante FC16358-1014
17Necaxa16349-1113
18FC Juarez163211-2111

More Liga MX predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Monterrey vs Guadalajara Chivas?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Monterrey vs Guadalajara Chivas?

On our numbers Monterrey have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Guadalajara Chivas 36%.

How many goals will there be in Monterrey vs Guadalajara Chivas?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Monterrey vs Guadalajara Chivas?

Our predicted score is Monterrey 1–1 Guadalajara Chivas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Monterrey vs Guadalajara Chivas?

Monterrey vs Guadalajara Chivas (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio BBVA.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.