Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Picks by market
ResultAtlas to win ✓65% · @1.67
Double chanceAtlas or draw ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.19
Atlas vs Puebla: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:00 WAT, Monday 26 October: Atlas v Puebla in the Liga MX, played at Estadio Jalisco. In the table, Atlas are 5th, upper half, on 27 points after 16 matches; Puebla are 13th (lower half) with 19.
Current form
Atlas, last 5: LWDWD Their latest outing: 2–5 defeat to Club America, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Puebla, last 5: LDDLD Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Monterrey, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Atlas, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Puebla.
Head to head
When they last met (10 Jul 2026) it ended Atlas 3–4 Puebla.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atlas 2.0 xG, Puebla 0.8 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atlas 65%, draw 20%, Puebla 15%.
Lower-risk option: Atlas or draw (85%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Atlas to win (65%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.54, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlas 2–0 Puebla. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atlas65%fair 1.54 · @1.67
Draw20%fair 5.01 · @3.40
Puebla15%fair 6.68 · @4.20
2.85Expected goals
2.01Atlas xG
0.84Puebla xG
56%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Atlas 2.0 – 0.8 Puebla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Atlas to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Atlas vs Puebla?
On our numbers Atlas have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Puebla 15%.
How many goals will there be in Atlas vs Puebla?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlas vs Puebla?
Our predicted score is Atlas 2–0 Puebla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Atlas vs Puebla?
Atlas vs Puebla (Liga MX) kicks off on Monday 26 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jalisco.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
