Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultCruz Azul to win ✓60% · @1.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.28
Cruz Azul vs Leon: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
02:00 WAT, Monday 2 November: Cruz Azul v Leon in the Liga MX, played at Estadio Banorte.
Current form
Cruz Azul, last 5: WWWDD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Club Queretaro, away. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.
Leon, last 5: DWLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Toluca, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cruz Azul 2.2 xG, Leon 1.2 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 63% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cruz Azul 60%, draw 20%, Leon 20%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cruz Azul 2–1 Leon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cruz Azul60%fair 1.67 · @1.62
Draw20%fair 5.04 · @3.80
Leon20%fair 4.90 · @4.00
3.36Expected goals
2.17Cruz Azul xG
1.19Leon xG
63%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Cruz Azul 2.2 – 1.2 Leon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cruz Azul to win✓
60%
1.67
1.62
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.50
Draw no bet
Cruz Azul (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Leon +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
First team to score
Cruz Azul to score first
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Cruz Azul ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cruz Azul / FT Cruz Azul✗
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.28
–
Recent results
Cruz Azul – last 6
WWWDDL
26 Oct
@ Club Queretaro
3–1
W
22 Oct
@ CF Pachuca
2–1
W
18 Oct
vs FC Juarez
5–0
W
12 Oct
@ U.N.A.M. - Pumas
3–3
D
26 Sep
vs Toluca
3–3
D
20 Sep
@ Monterrey
0–1
L
2.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Leon – last 6
DWLDWD
25 Oct
vs Toluca
1–1
D
21 Oct
@ Tigres UANL
2–0
W
18 Oct
vs Club America
3–5
L
10 Oct
@ Puebla
1–1
D
28 Sep
vs FC Juarez
2–1
W
21 Sep
@ Club Queretaro
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cruz Azul and Leon.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Cruz Azul vs Leon?
On our numbers Cruz Azul have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Leon 20%.
How many goals will there be in Cruz Azul vs Leon?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cruz Azul vs Leon?
Our predicted score is Cruz Azul 2–1 Leon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Cruz Azul vs Leon?
Cruz Azul vs Leon (Liga MX) kicks off on Monday 2 November 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Banorte.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
