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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Necaxa v Club Tijuana: numbers & prediction

Liga MX · Mexico · Estadio Victoria

Necaxa

LDLLD
1–0
FT
Necaxa 37%Draw 22%Club Tijuana 41% Expected goals 1.38 – 1.48
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
2

Value bet: Club Tijuana to win @ 2.62 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultClub Tijuana to win ✗41% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.56

Necaxa vs Club Tijuana: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Club Tijuana travel to face Necaxa on Saturday 7 November in the Liga MX, with Estadio Victoria the venue – the ball rolls at 02:00 WAT. In the table, Necaxa are 17th, in the drop zone, on 13 points after 16 matches; Club Tijuana are 9th (upper half) with 22.

Current form

Necaxa, last 5: LDLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Santos Laguna, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Club Tijuana, last 5: DDWDD Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Monterrey, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Club Tijuana, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.3 for Necaxa.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Mar 2026) it ended Necaxa 3–0 Club Tijuana.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Necaxa 1.4 xG, Club Tijuana 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Necaxa 37%, draw 22%, Club Tijuana 41%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.62.
  • Price worth noting: Club Tijuana to win @2.62 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 41%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Necaxa 1–1 Club Tijuana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Necaxa37%fair 2.73 · @2.62
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.40
Club Tijuana41%fair 2.44 · @2.62
2.86Expected goals
1.38Necaxa xG
1.48Club Tijuana xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%

From our goals model: Necaxa 1.4 – 1.5 Club Tijuana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultClub Tijuana to win ✗41%2.442.62 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.691.62
Draw no betClub Tijuana (draw no bet) ✗53%1.89–
Asian handicapNecaxa +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76%1.311.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗53%1.891.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.461.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.191.12
First team to scoreClub Tijuana to score first ✗49%2.05–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.45–
Half-time / full-timeHT Club Tijuana / FT Club Tijuana ✗23%4.28–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.56–

Recent results

Necaxa – last 6

LDLLDL
2 Nov@ Santos Laguna0–1L
24 Octvs FC Juarez1–1D
21 Oct@ Guadalajara Chivas0–1L
17 Octvs Atlas0–2L
12 Oct@ CF Pachuca3–3D
28 Sepvs Club America2–4L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Club Tijuana – last 6

DDWDDD
1 Nov@ Monterrey3–3D
29 Oct@ Club America1–1D
26 Octvs Santos Laguna4–1W
22 Oct@ Toluca2–2D
17 Octvs Puebla0–0D
11 Oct@ FC Juarez1–1D
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Mar 2026Necaxa v Club Tijuana3–0
Necaxa vs Club Tijuana head-to-head page →

Liga MX table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cruz Azul161024+1132
2Club America16862+1530
3Guadalajara Chivas16862+1130
4Toluca16763+1427
5Atlas16835-327
6Santos Laguna16817+325
7Club Leon16655+223
8CF Pachuca16646+922
9Club Tijuana16574+322
10Monterrey15636+121
11U.N.A.M. - Pumas16565-221
12Club Queretaro15627-520
13Puebla16547-419
14Atletico San Luis16547-519
15Tigres UANL16367-815
16Atlante FC16358-1014
17Necaxa16349-1113
18FC Juarez163211-2111

More Liga MX predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Necaxa vs Club Tijuana?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Necaxa vs Club Tijuana?

On our numbers Necaxa have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Club Tijuana 41%.

How many goals will there be in Necaxa vs Club Tijuana?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Necaxa vs Club Tijuana?

Our predicted score is Necaxa 1–1 Club Tijuana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Necaxa vs Club Tijuana?

Necaxa vs Club Tijuana (Liga MX) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Victoria.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.