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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Botev Vratsa v Cherno More Varna: numbers & prediction

First League · Bulgaria · Hristo Botev Stadium
1–1
FT
Botev Vratsa 35%Draw 30%Cherno More Varna 35% Expected goals 1.10 – 1.04
62%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultBotev Vratsa to win ✗35% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗70% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.54

Botev Vratsa vs Cherno More Varna: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 19 July the First League brings Botev Vratsa against Cherno More Varna at Hristo Botev Stadium. Kick-off: 17:30 WAT. In the table, Botev Vratsa are 13th, in the drop zone, on 10 points after 14 matches; Cherno More Varna are 9th (lower half) with 13. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Botev Vratsa, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Arda Kardzhali, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Cherno More Varna, last 5: DDWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Dunav Ruse, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (20 Feb 2026) it ended Cherno More Varna 0–0 Botev Vratsa.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Botev Vratsa 1.1 xG, Cherno More Varna 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Botev Vratsa 35%, draw 30%, Cherno More Varna 35%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.00.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (62%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Botev Vratsa 1–1 Cherno More Varna. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Botev Vratsa35%fair 2.82 · @2.70
Draw30%fair 3.39 · @2.80
Cherno More Varna35%fair 2.85 · @2.70
2.13Expected goals
1.10Botev Vratsa xG
1.04Cherno More Varna xG
54%Both score
36%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–012%
2–17%
2–07%

From our goals model: Botev Vratsa 1.1 – 1.0 Cherno More Varna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBotev Vratsa to win ✗35%2.822.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗70%1.421.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.862.00 ▲
Draw no betBotev Vratsa (draw no bet)50%1.99–
Asian handicapCherno More Varna +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓62%1.601.50
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓64%1.561.45
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.07–
First team to scoreBotev Vratsa to score first45%2.21–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓48%2.07–
Half-time / full-timeHT Botev Vratsa / FT Botev Vratsa ✗21%4.86–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7%13.54–

Recent results

Botev Vratsa – last 6

WDWDWW
10 Julvs Arda Kardzhali1–0W
3 Julvs Beitar Jerusalem2–2D
1 Julvs Spartak Pleven2–1W
27 Jun@ Levski Sofia1–1D
22 Mayvs Beroe3–0W
18 May@ Dobrudzha2–1W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Cherno More Varna – last 6

DDWWDW
11 Julvs Dunav Ruse1–1D
8 Julvs Dobrudzha2–2D
8 Jul@ Farul Constanta1–0W
3 Julvs Spartak Pleven1–0W
1 Julvs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa0–0D
24 Jun@ Yantra 20191–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 Feb 2026Cherno More Varna v Botev Vratsa0–0
Botev Vratsa vs Cherno More Varna head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CSKA Sofia141040+2334
2Levski Sofia131021+1732
3Ludogorets13931+1530
4CSKA 194814923+1729
5Botev Plovdiv14725+223
6Arda Kardzhali14635-221
7Spartak Varna14446-1016
8Slavia Sofia14284014
9Cherno More Varna14347-813
10Dunav Ruse14338-712
11Lokomotiv Plovdiv14338-1012
12Septemvri Sofia14329-1311
13Botev Vratsa14248-1310
14Lokomotiv Sofia14167-119

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Botev Vratsa vs Cherno More Varna?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Botev Vratsa vs Cherno More Varna?

On our numbers Botev Vratsa have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Cherno More Varna 35%.

How many goals will there be in Botev Vratsa vs Cherno More Varna?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Botev Vratsa vs Cherno More Varna?

Our predicted score is Botev Vratsa 1–1 Cherno More Varna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Botev Vratsa vs Cherno More Varna?

Botev Vratsa vs Cherno More Varna (First League) kicks off on Sunday 19 July 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Hristo Botev Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.