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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Lokomotiv Sofia v Levski Sofia: numbers & prediction

First League · Bulgaria · Stadion Lokomotiv
1–2
FT
Lokomotiv Sofia 16%Draw 22%Levski Sofia 62% Expected goals 0.83 – 1.88
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultLevski Sofia to win ✓62% · @1.48
Double chanceLevski Sofia or draw ✓84% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.24

Lokomotiv Sofia vs Levski Sofia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 25 July the First League brings Lokomotiv Sofia against Levski Sofia at Stadion Lokomotiv. Kick-off: 19:15 WAT. In the table, Lokomotiv Sofia are 14th, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 14 matches; Levski Sofia are 2nd (among the top four) with 32. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Lokomotiv Sofia, last 5: DDDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Botev Plovdiv, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Levski Sofia, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Universitatea Craiova, at home. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Levski Sofia, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.2 for Lokomotiv Sofia.

Head to head

When they last met (1 Mar 2026) it ended Levski Sofia 4–3 Lokomotiv Sofia.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lokomotiv Sofia 0.8 xG, Levski Sofia 1.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Lokomotiv Sofia 16%, draw 22%, Levski Sofia 62%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.77.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lokomotiv Sofia 0–2 Levski Sofia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lokomotiv Sofia16%fair 6.26 · @5.60
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @4.00
Levski Sofia62%fair 1.61 · @1.48
2.71Expected goals
0.83Lokomotiv Sofia xG
1.88Levski Sofia xG
54%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–112%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
0–07%

From our goals model: Lokomotiv Sofia 0.8 – 1.9 Levski Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLevski Sofia to win ✓62%1.611.48
Double chanceLevski Sofia or draw ✓84%1.191.08
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.861.77
Draw no betLevski Sofia (draw no bet) ✓79%1.26–
Asian handicapLevski Sofia -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.321.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓53%1.891.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.461.40
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
First team to scoreLevski Sofia to score first65%1.55–
Half-time resultLevski Sofia ahead at half-time ✗44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Levski Sofia / FT Levski Sofia ✗39%2.55–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10%10.24–

Recent results

Lokomotiv Sofia – last 6

DDDLWD
21 Jul@ Botev Plovdiv1–1D
11 Julvs Teuta Durrës0–0D
4 Julvs Dukagjini3–3D
22 May@ Spartak Varna0–3L
18 Mayvs Slavia Sofia2–0W
14 Mayvs Beroe1–1D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Levski Sofia – last 6

WWWDWD
22 Julvs Universitatea Craiova1–0W
17 Julvs Dunav Ruse2–1W
14 Julvs Borac Banja Luka4–0W
7 Jul@ Borac Banja Luka1–1D
30 Junvs Radnik Surdulica5–0W
27 Junvs Botev Vratsa1–1D
2.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Mar 2026Levski Sofia v Lokomotiv Sofia4–3
Lokomotiv Sofia vs Levski Sofia head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CSKA Sofia141040+2334
2Levski Sofia131021+1732
3Ludogorets13931+1530
4CSKA 194814923+1729
5Botev Plovdiv14725+223
6Arda Kardzhali14635-221
7Spartak Varna14446-1016
8Slavia Sofia14284014
9Cherno More Varna14347-813
10Dunav Ruse14338-712
11Lokomotiv Plovdiv14338-1012
12Septemvri Sofia14329-1311
13Botev Vratsa14248-1310
14Lokomotiv Sofia14167-119

More First League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Sofia vs Levski Sofia?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Lokomotiv Sofia vs Levski Sofia?

On our numbers Lokomotiv Sofia have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Levski Sofia 62%.

How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv Sofia vs Levski Sofia?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv Sofia vs Levski Sofia?

Our predicted score is Lokomotiv Sofia 0–2 Levski Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Lokomotiv Sofia vs Levski Sofia?

Lokomotiv Sofia vs Levski Sofia (First League) kicks off on Saturday 25 July 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Lokomotiv.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.