Value bet: Slavia Sofia to win @ 2.85 – our chance 41% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSlavia Sofia to win ✗41% · @2.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.99
Slavia Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lokomotiv Sofia travel to face Slavia Sofia on Friday 31 July in the First League, with Stadion Aleksandar Shalamanov the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Slavia Sofia are 8th, lower half, on 14 points after 14 matches; Lokomotiv Sofia are 14th (in the drop zone) with 9.
Current form
Slavia Sofia, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Arda Kardzhali, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Lokomotiv Sofia, last 5: LDDDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Levski Sofia, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Slavia Sofia, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Lokomotiv Sofia.
Head to head
When they last met (18 May 2026) it ended Lokomotiv Sofia 2–0 Slavia Sofia. The last 2 head-to-heads: Slavia Sofia 0 wins, Lokomotiv Sofia 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Slavia Sofia 1.3 xG, Lokomotiv Sofia 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Slavia Sofia 41%, draw 26%, Lokomotiv Sofia 33%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Slavia Sofia to win @2.85 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Slavia Sofia 1–0 Lokomotiv Sofia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Slavia Sofia41%fair 2.42 · @2.85
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @3.25
Lokomotiv Sofia33%fair 3.03 · @2.25
2.19Expected goals
1.28Slavia Sofia xG
0.91Lokomotiv Sofia xG
57%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Slavia Sofia 1.3 – 0.9 Lokomotiv Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Slavia Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Slavia Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
On our numbers Slavia Sofia have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Lokomotiv Sofia 33%.
How many goals will there be in Slavia Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Slavia Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
Our predicted score is Slavia Sofia 1–0 Lokomotiv Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Slavia Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
Slavia Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia (First League) kicks off on Friday 31 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Aleksandar Shalamanov.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
