Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Spartak Varna welcome Lokomotiv Plovdiv to Stadion Spartak for a First League fixture on Monday 3 August (19:15 WAT). In the table, Spartak Varna are 7th, upper half, on 16 points after 14 matches; Lokomotiv Plovdiv are 11th (lower half) with 12.
Current form
Spartak Varna, last 5: WDWDL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Cherno More Varna, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Septemvri Sofia, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Lokomotiv Plovdiv, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Spartak Varna.
Head to head
When they last met (21 Feb 2026) it ended Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1–1 Spartak Varna.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Spartak Varna 1.2 xG, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Spartak Varna 34%, draw 27%, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 39%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spartak Varna 1–1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Spartak Varna34%fair 2.97 · @2.95
Draw27%fair 3.70 · @3.25
Lokomotiv Plovdiv39%fair 2.54 · @2.20
2.48Expected goals
1.19Spartak Varna xG
1.29Lokomotiv Plovdiv xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–08%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Spartak Varna 1.2 – 1.3 Lokomotiv Plovdiv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
On our numbers Spartak Varna have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Lokomotiv Plovdiv 39%.
How many goals will there be in Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Our predicted score is Spartak Varna 1–1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv (First League) kicks off on Monday 3 August 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Spartak.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
