Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.80 – our chance 59% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBotev Plovdiv to win ✓62% · @1.53
Double chanceBotev Plovdiv or draw ✓84% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Botev Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:15 WAT, Monday 10 August: Botev Plovdiv v Spartak Varna in the First League, played at Stadion Hristo Botev. In the table, Botev Plovdiv are 5th, upper half, on 23 points after 14 matches; Spartak Varna are 7th (upper half) with 16.
Current form
Botev Plovdiv, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Cherno More Varna, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Spartak Varna, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Lokomotiv Plovdiv, at home. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Head to head
When they last met (4 Jul 2026) it ended Botev Plovdiv 1–0 Spartak Varna.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Botev Plovdiv 2.0 xG, Spartak Varna 0.9 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 55% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Botev Plovdiv 62%, draw 22%, Spartak Varna 16%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Botev Plovdiv 2–0 Spartak Varna. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Botev Plovdiv62%fair 1.62 · @1.53
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.75
Spartak Varna16%fair 6.32 · @5.50
2.97Expected goals
2.02Botev Plovdiv xG
0.94Spartak Varna xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Botev Plovdiv 2.0 – 0.9 Spartak Varna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Botev Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Botev Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna?
On our numbers Botev Plovdiv have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Spartak Varna 16%.
How many goals will there be in Botev Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Botev Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna?
Our predicted score is Botev Plovdiv 2–0 Spartak Varna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Botev Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna?
Botev Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna (First League) kicks off on Monday 10 August 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Hristo Botev.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
