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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

CSKA 1948 v Cherno More Varna: numbers & prediction

First League · Bulgaria · Bistritsa Stadium
4–1
FT
CSKA 1948 58%Draw 24%Cherno More Varna 18% Expected goals 1.86 – 0.95
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.35 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.35Odds

Picks by market

ResultCSKA 1948 to win ✓58% · @1.73
Double chanceCSKA 1948 or draw ✓82% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.11

CSKA 1948 vs Cherno More Varna: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 14 August the First League brings CSKA 1948 against Cherno More Varna at Bistritsa Stadium. Kick-off: 19:15 WAT. In the table, CSKA 1948 are 4th, among the top four, on 29 points after 14 matches; Cherno More Varna are 9th (lower half) with 13. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

CSKA 1948, last 5: DWDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Panathinaikos, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Cherno More Varna, last 5: LLLDD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Ludogorets, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours CSKA 1948, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.5 for Cherno More Varna.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Apr 2026) it ended Cherno More Varna 0–4 CSKA 1948.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give CSKA 1948 1.9 xG, Cherno More Varna 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – CSKA 1948 58%, draw 24%, Cherno More Varna 18%.
  • Lower-risk option: CSKA 1948 or draw (82%) at 1.14.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.90.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: CSKA 1948 1–1 Cherno More Varna. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

CSKA 194858%fair 1.72 · @1.73
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.35
Cherno More Varna18%fair 5.54 · @4.40
2.81Expected goals
1.86CSKA 1948 xG
0.95Cherno More Varna xG
54%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
3–16%

From our goals model: CSKA 1948 1.9 – 0.9 Cherno More Varna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCSKA 1948 to win ✓58%1.721.73
Double chanceCSKA 1948 or draw ✓82%1.221.14
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.841.90
Draw no betCSKA 1948 (draw no bet) ✓76%1.31–
Asian handicapCherno More Varna +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.371.35
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗51%1.971.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗72%1.391.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗85%1.18–
First team to scoreCSKA 1948 to score first62%1.60–
Half-time resultCSKA 1948 ahead at half-time ✗43%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT CSKA 1948 / FT CSKA 1948 ✗37%2.71–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.11–

Recent results

CSKA 1948 – last 6

DWDWDW
11 Augvs Panathinaikos1–1D
8 Aug@ Lokomotiv Sofia3–1W
5 Aug@ Panathinaikos1–1D
31 Julvs Arda Kardzhali2–1W
28 Julvs Spartak Trnava0–0D
25 Julvs Botev Vratsa2–1W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Cherno More Varna – last 6

LLLDDD
9 Augvs Ludogorets2–3L
1 Aug@ Botev Plovdiv0–1L
26 Julvs Spartak Varna0–3L
19 Jul@ Botev Vratsa1–1D
11 Julvs Dunav Ruse1–1D
8 Julvs Dobrudzha2–2D
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Apr 2026Cherno More Varna v CSKA 19480–4
CSKA 1948 vs Cherno More Varna head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CSKA Sofia141040+2334
2Levski Sofia131021+1732
3Ludogorets13931+1530
4CSKA 194814923+1729
5Botev Plovdiv14725+223
6Arda Kardzhali14635-221
7Spartak Varna14446-1016
8Slavia Sofia14284014
9Cherno More Varna14347-813
10Dunav Ruse14338-712
11Lokomotiv Plovdiv14338-1012
12Septemvri Sofia14329-1311
13Botev Vratsa14248-1310
14Lokomotiv Sofia14167-119

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for CSKA 1948 vs Cherno More Varna?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.

Who will win CSKA 1948 vs Cherno More Varna?

On our numbers CSKA 1948 have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Cherno More Varna 18%.

How many goals will there be in CSKA 1948 vs Cherno More Varna?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for CSKA 1948 vs Cherno More Varna?

Our predicted score is CSKA 1948 1–1 Cherno More Varna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is CSKA 1948 vs Cherno More Varna?

CSKA 1948 vs Cherno More Varna (First League) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Bistritsa Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.