Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultLokomotiv Plovdiv to win ✗59% · @1.65
Double chanceLokomotiv Plovdiv or draw ✗84% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.24
Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lokomotiv Plovdiv welcome Dunav Ruse to Stadion Lokomotiv for a First League fixture on Sunday 16 August (19:15 WAT). In the table, Lokomotiv Plovdiv are 11th, lower half, on 12 points after 14 matches; Dunav Ruse are 10th (lower half) with 12. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Lokomotiv Plovdiv, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Levski Sofia, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Dunav Ruse, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Arda Kardzhali, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Lokomotiv Plovdiv, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.3 for Dunav Ruse.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1.6 xG, Dunav Ruse 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lokomotiv Plovdiv 59%, draw 25%, Dunav Ruse 16%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1–0 Dunav Ruse. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lokomotiv Plovdiv59%fair 1.70 · @1.65
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.40
Dunav Ruse16%fair 6.30 · @5.00
2.27Expected goals
1.59Lokomotiv Plovdiv xG
0.69Dunav Ruse xG
52%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1.6 – 0.7 Dunav Ruse expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lokomotiv Plovdiv to win✗
59%
1.70
1.65
Double chance
Lokomotiv Plovdiv or draw✗
84%
1.19
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
2.00
Draw no bet
Lokomotiv Plovdiv (draw no bet)✗
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Dunav Ruse +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.71
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.27
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Lokomotiv Plovdiv to score first✓
63%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lokomotiv Plovdiv / FT Lokomotiv Plovdiv✗
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.24
–
Recent results
Lokomotiv Plovdiv – last 6
LLWLWW
7 Aug
@ Levski Sofia
0–2
L
3 Aug
@ Spartak Varna
0–1
L
26 Jul
vs Septemvri Sofia
2–1
W
18 Jul
@ Ludogorets
0–1
L
8 Jul
@ Rilski Sportist
2–0
W
4 Jul
vs Arda Kardzhali
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Dunav Ruse – last 6
LLLLDD
8 Aug
vs Arda Kardzhali
0–2
L
2 Aug
@ CSKA Sofia
1–2
L
27 Jul
vs Ludogorets
0–2
L
17 Jul
@ Levski Sofia
1–2
L
11 Jul
@ Cherno More Varna
1–1
D
1 Jul
vs Dobrudzha
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lokomotiv Plovdiv and Dunav Ruse.
What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse?
On our numbers Lokomotiv Plovdiv have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Dunav Ruse 16%.
How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse?
Our predicted score is Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1–0 Dunav Ruse, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse?
Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse (First League) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Lokomotiv.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
