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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ludogorets v Botev Plovdiv: numbers & prediction

First League · Bulgaria · Huvepharma Arena
2–0
FT
Ludogorets 64%Draw 22%Botev Plovdiv 13% Expected goals 2.10 – 0.87
79%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultLudogorets to win ✓64% · @1.55
Double chanceLudogorets or draw ✓87% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.16

Ludogorets vs Botev Plovdiv: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Botev Plovdiv travel to face Ludogorets on Saturday 15 August in the First League, with Huvepharma Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 19:15 WAT. In the table, Ludogorets are 3rd, among the top four, on 30 points after 13 matches; Botev Plovdiv are 5th (upper half) with 23.

Current form

Ludogorets, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Cherno More Varna, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Botev Plovdiv, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Spartak Varna, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (23 Feb 2026) it ended Botev Plovdiv 2–1 Ludogorets.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ludogorets 2.1 xG, Botev Plovdiv 0.9 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ludogorets 64%, draw 22%, Botev Plovdiv 13%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ludogorets 2–0 Botev Plovdiv. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ludogorets64%fair 1.55 · @1.55
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @4.00
Botev Plovdiv13%fair 7.59 · @5.00
2.98Expected goals
2.10Ludogorets xG
0.87Botev Plovdiv xG
60%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Ludogorets 2.1 – 0.9 Botev Plovdiv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLudogorets to win ✓64%1.551.55
Double chanceLudogorets or draw ✓87%1.151.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗60%1.681.67
Draw no betLudogorets (draw no bet) ✓83%1.20–
Asian handicapLudogorets -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.271.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗57%1.761.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.541.45
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
First team to scoreLudogorets to score first ✓67%1.49–
Half-time resultLudogorets ahead at half-time ✓48%2.10–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ludogorets / FT Ludogorets ✓43%2.34–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.16–

Recent results

Ludogorets – last 6

WWDWLW
9 Aug@ Cherno More Varna3–2W
2 Augvs Botev Vratsa2–1W
30 Julvs Hapoel Tel Aviv2–2D
27 Jul@ Dunav Ruse2–0W
23 Jul@ Hapoel Tel Aviv0–2L
18 Julvs Lokomotiv Plovdiv1–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Botev Plovdiv – last 6

WWLDWW
10 Augvs Spartak Varna3–2W
1 Augvs Cherno More Varna1–0W
27 Jul@ CSKA Sofia2–3L
21 Julvs Lokomotiv Sofia1–1D
12 Julvs Beroe4–0W
4 Julvs Spartak Varna1–0W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 Feb 2026Botev Plovdiv v Ludogorets2–1
Ludogorets vs Botev Plovdiv head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CSKA Sofia141040+2334
2Levski Sofia131021+1732
3Ludogorets13931+1530
4CSKA 194814923+1729
5Botev Plovdiv14725+223
6Arda Kardzhali14635-221
7Spartak Varna14446-1016
8Slavia Sofia14284014
9Cherno More Varna14347-813
10Dunav Ruse14338-712
11Lokomotiv Plovdiv14338-1012
12Septemvri Sofia14329-1311
13Botev Vratsa14248-1310
14Lokomotiv Sofia14167-119

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ludogorets vs Botev Plovdiv?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Ludogorets vs Botev Plovdiv?

On our numbers Ludogorets have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Botev Plovdiv 13%.

How many goals will there be in Ludogorets vs Botev Plovdiv?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ludogorets vs Botev Plovdiv?

Our predicted score is Ludogorets 2–0 Botev Plovdiv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Ludogorets vs Botev Plovdiv?

Ludogorets vs Botev Plovdiv (First League) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Huvepharma Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.