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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Cherno More Varna v Dunav Ruse: numbers & prediction

First League · Bulgaria · Ticha Stadium
3–1
FT
Cherno More Varna 67%Draw 22%Dunav Ruse 11% Expected goals 2.02 – 0.72
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultCherno More Varna to win ✓67% · @1.53
Double chanceCherno More Varna or draw ✓89% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.55

Cherno More Varna vs Dunav Ruse: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 21 August the First League brings Cherno More Varna against Dunav Ruse at Ticha Stadium. Kick-off: 19:15 WAT. In the table, Cherno More Varna are 9th, lower half, on 13 points after 14 matches; Dunav Ruse are 10th (lower half) with 12. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Cherno More Varna, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to CSKA 1948, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Dunav Ruse, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Lokomotiv Plovdiv, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (11 Jul 2026) it ended Cherno More Varna 1–1 Dunav Ruse.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cherno More Varna 2.0 xG, Dunav Ruse 0.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cherno More Varna 67%, draw 22%, Dunav Ruse 11%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cherno More Varna 2–0 Dunav Ruse. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cherno More Varna67%fair 1.50 · @1.53
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.65
Dunav Ruse11%fair 9.00 · @5.60
2.74Expected goals
2.02Cherno More Varna xG
0.72Dunav Ruse xG
54%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–013%
1–013%
2–19%
1–19%
3–09%
0–06%

From our goals model: Cherno More Varna 2.0 – 0.7 Dunav Ruse expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCherno More Varna to win ✓67%1.501.53
Double chanceCherno More Varna or draw ✓89%1.131.08
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.851.95 ▲
Draw no betCherno More Varna (draw no bet) ✓86%1.17–
Asian handicapCherno More Varna -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.361.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗50%1.981.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗72%1.391.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
First team to scoreCherno More Varna to score first69%1.45–
Half-time resultCherno More Varna ahead at half-time ✗48%2.07–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cherno More Varna / FT Cherno More Varna ✗44%2.28–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.55–

Recent results

Cherno More Varna – last 6

LLLLDD
14 Aug@ CSKA 19481–4L
9 Augvs Ludogorets2–3L
1 Aug@ Botev Plovdiv0–1L
26 Julvs Spartak Varna0–3L
19 Jul@ Botev Vratsa1–1D
11 Julvs Dunav Ruse1–1D
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Dunav Ruse – last 6

WLLLLD
16 Aug@ Lokomotiv Plovdiv2–1W
8 Augvs Arda Kardzhali0–2L
2 Aug@ CSKA Sofia1–2L
27 Julvs Ludogorets0–2L
17 Jul@ Levski Sofia1–2L
11 Jul@ Cherno More Varna1–1D
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 Jul 2026Cherno More Varna v Dunav Ruse1–1
Cherno More Varna vs Dunav Ruse head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CSKA Sofia141040+2334
2Levski Sofia131021+1732
3Ludogorets13931+1530
4CSKA 194814923+1729
5Botev Plovdiv14725+223
6Arda Kardzhali14635-221
7Spartak Varna14446-1016
8Slavia Sofia14284014
9Cherno More Varna14347-813
10Dunav Ruse14338-712
11Lokomotiv Plovdiv14338-1012
12Septemvri Sofia14329-1311
13Botev Vratsa14248-1310
14Lokomotiv Sofia14167-119

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cherno More Varna vs Dunav Ruse?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Cherno More Varna vs Dunav Ruse?

On our numbers Cherno More Varna have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Dunav Ruse 11%.

How many goals will there be in Cherno More Varna vs Dunav Ruse?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cherno More Varna vs Dunav Ruse?

Our predicted score is Cherno More Varna 2–0 Dunav Ruse, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Cherno More Varna vs Dunav Ruse?

Cherno More Varna vs Dunav Ruse (First League) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Ticha Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.