Lokomotiv Sofia 13%Draw 21%CSKA Sofia 66%Expected goals 0.98 – 2.33
66%
Betarazi pick
CSKA Sofia to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultCSKA Sofia to win ✓66% · @1.55
Double chanceCSKA Sofia or draw ✓87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.30
Lokomotiv Sofia vs CSKA Sofia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lokomotiv Sofia welcome CSKA Sofia to Stadion Lokomotiv for a First League fixture on Wednesday 16 September (17:00 WAT). In the table, Lokomotiv Sofia are 14th, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 14 matches; CSKA Sofia are 1st (leading the league) with 34. There are 25 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Lokomotiv Sofia, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Cherno More Varna, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
CSKA Sofia, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Arda Kardzhali, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours CSKA Sofia, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Lokomotiv Sofia.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Mar 2026) it ended CSKA Sofia 2–0 Lokomotiv Sofia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lokomotiv Sofia 1.0 xG, CSKA Sofia 2.3 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 59% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lokomotiv Sofia 13%, draw 21%, CSKA Sofia 66%.
Lower-risk option: CSKA Sofia or draw (87%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was CSKA Sofia to win (66%, odds 1.55 – longer than our fair 1.51, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lokomotiv Sofia 0–2 CSKA Sofia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lokomotiv Sofia13%fair 7.78 · @4.80
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.90
CSKA Sofia66%fair 1.51 · @1.55
3.31Expected goals
0.98Lokomotiv Sofia xG
2.33CSKA Sofia xG
59%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–210%
1–210%
0–19%
1–18%
0–38%
1–38%
From our goals model: Lokomotiv Sofia 1.0 – 2.3 CSKA Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Sofia vs CSKA Sofia?
Our pick is CSKA Sofia to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Lokomotiv Sofia vs CSKA Sofia?
On our numbers Lokomotiv Sofia have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 21% and CSKA Sofia 66%.
How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv Sofia vs CSKA Sofia?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv Sofia vs CSKA Sofia?
Our predicted score is Lokomotiv Sofia 0–2 CSKA Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Lokomotiv Sofia vs CSKA Sofia?
Lokomotiv Sofia vs CSKA Sofia (First League) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Lokomotiv.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
