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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Septemvri Sofia v CSKA 1948: numbers & prediction

First League · Bulgaria · Dragalevtsi Stadium
1–0
FT
Septemvri Sofia 9%Draw 24%CSKA 1948 67% Expected goals 0.84 – 2.26
67%
Betarazi pick

CSKA 1948 to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.44Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultCSKA 1948 to win ✗67% · @1.44
Double chanceCSKA 1948 or draw ✗91% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.36

Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA 1948: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 23 August the First League brings Septemvri Sofia against CSKA 1948 at Dragalevtsi Stadium. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Septemvri Sofia are 12th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 14 matches; CSKA 1948 are 4th (among the top four) with 29. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Septemvri Sofia, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Spartak Varna, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

CSKA 1948, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Cherno More Varna, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours CSKA 1948, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.7 for Septemvri Sofia.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Septemvri Sofia 0.8 xG, CSKA 1948 2.3 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 57% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Septemvri Sofia 9%, draw 24%, CSKA 1948 67%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.91.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 57%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was CSKA 1948 to win (67%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Septemvri Sofia 0–2 CSKA 1948. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Septemvri Sofia9%fair 10.64 · @6.00
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.75
CSKA 194867%fair 1.50 · @1.44
3.10Expected goals
0.84Septemvri Sofia xG
2.26CSKA 1948 xG
57%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–212%
0–110%
1–210%
0–39%
1–19%
1–37%

From our goals model: Septemvri Sofia 0.8 – 2.3 CSKA 1948 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCSKA 1948 to win ✗67%1.501.44
Double chanceCSKA 1948 or draw ✗91%1.101.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.761.91 ▲
Draw no betCSKA 1948 (draw no bet) ✗88%1.14–
Asian handicapCSKA 1948 -1 (Asian handicap) ✗60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82%1.23–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗60%1.67–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓62%1.60–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
First team to scoreCSKA 1948 to score first ✗70%1.43–
Half-time resultCSKA 1948 ahead at half-time ✗51%1.97–
Half-time / full-timeHT CSKA 1948 / FT CSKA 1948 ✗46%2.17–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.36–

Recent results

Septemvri Sofia – last 6

WLLLDL
17 Aug@ Spartak Varna1–0W
9 Augvs CSKA Sofia0–3L
1 Aug@ Levski Sofia0–3L
26 Jul@ Lokomotiv Plovdiv1–2L
18 Julvs Arda Kardzhali1–1D
10 Jul@ Ludogorets0–1L
0.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

CSKA 1948 – last 6

WDWDWD
14 Augvs Cherno More Varna4–1W
11 Augvs Panathinaikos1–1D
8 Aug@ Lokomotiv Sofia3–1W
5 Aug@ Panathinaikos1–1D
31 Julvs Arda Kardzhali2–1W
28 Julvs Spartak Trnava0–0D
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Septemvri Sofia and CSKA 1948.

Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA 1948 head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CSKA Sofia141040+2334
2Levski Sofia131021+1732
3Ludogorets13931+1530
4CSKA 194814923+1729
5Botev Plovdiv14725+223
6Arda Kardzhali14635-221
7Spartak Varna14446-1016
8Slavia Sofia14284014
9Cherno More Varna14347-813
10Dunav Ruse14338-712
11Lokomotiv Plovdiv14338-1012
12Septemvri Sofia14329-1311
13Botev Vratsa14248-1310
14Lokomotiv Sofia14167-119

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA 1948?

Our pick is CSKA 1948 to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA 1948?

On our numbers Septemvri Sofia have a 9% chance of winning, the draw 24% and CSKA 1948 67%.

How many goals will there be in Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA 1948?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA 1948?

Our predicted score is Septemvri Sofia 0–2 CSKA 1948, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA 1948?

Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA 1948 (First League) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Dragalevtsi Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.