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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Spartak Varna v CSKA Sofia: numbers & prediction

First League · Bulgaria · Stadion Spartak
1–1
FT
Spartak Varna 11%Draw 23%CSKA Sofia 66% Expected goals 0.91 – 2.32
66%
Betarazi pick

CSKA Sofia to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultCSKA Sofia to win ✗66% · @1.57
Double chanceCSKA Sofia or draw ✓89% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.32

Spartak Varna vs CSKA Sofia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

CSKA Sofia travel to face Spartak Varna on Saturday 5 September in the First League, with Stadion Spartak the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Spartak Varna are 7th, upper half, on 16 points after 14 matches; CSKA Sofia are 1st (leading the league) with 34. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Spartak Varna, last 5: DLLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ludogorets, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

CSKA Sofia, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Cherno More Varna, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Spartak Varna 0.9 xG, CSKA Sofia 2.3 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Spartak Varna 11%, draw 23%, CSKA Sofia 66%.
  • Lower-risk option: CSKA Sofia or draw (89%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was CSKA Sofia to win (66%, odds 1.57 – longer than our fair 1.51, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spartak Varna 0–2 CSKA Sofia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Spartak Varna11%fair 9.24 · @5.00
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.60
CSKA Sofia66%fair 1.51 · @1.57
3.23Expected goals
0.91Spartak Varna xG
2.32CSKA Sofia xG
58%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–211%
1–210%
0–19%
1–18%
0–38%
1–37%

From our goals model: Spartak Varna 0.9 – 2.3 CSKA Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCSKA Sofia to win ✗66%1.511.57
Double chanceCSKA Sofia or draw ✓89%1.121.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.711.80 ▲
Draw no betCSKA Sofia (draw no bet)86%1.16–
Asian handicapCSKA Sofia -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗63%1.60–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓60%1.68–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓78%1.29–
First team to scoreCSKA Sofia to score first69%1.45–
Half-time resultCSKA Sofia ahead at half-time ✗51%1.98–
Half-time / full-timeHT CSKA Sofia / FT CSKA Sofia ✗46%2.19–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.32–

Recent results

Spartak Varna – last 6

DLLLWW
30 Augvs Ludogorets1–1D
22 Aug@ Levski Sofia0–6L
17 Augvs Septemvri Sofia0–1L
10 Aug@ Botev Plovdiv2–3L
3 Augvs Lokomotiv Plovdiv1–0W
26 Jul@ Cherno More Varna3–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

CSKA Sofia – last 6

WLLWLW
30 Augvs Cherno More Varna3–1W
27 Augvs OFI0–2L
20 Aug@ OFI0–3L
16 Augvs Botev Vratsa5–0W
13 Augvs Maccabi Tel Aviv1–3L
9 Aug@ Septemvri Sofia3–0W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Spartak Varna and CSKA Sofia.

Spartak Varna vs CSKA Sofia head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CSKA Sofia141040+2334
2Levski Sofia131021+1732
3Ludogorets13931+1530
4CSKA 194814923+1729
5Botev Plovdiv14725+223
6Arda Kardzhali14635-221
7Spartak Varna14446-1016
8Slavia Sofia14284014
9Cherno More Varna14347-813
10Dunav Ruse14338-712
11Lokomotiv Plovdiv14338-1012
12Septemvri Sofia14329-1311
13Botev Vratsa14248-1310
14Lokomotiv Sofia14167-119

More First League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Spartak Varna vs CSKA Sofia?

Our pick is CSKA Sofia to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Spartak Varna vs CSKA Sofia?

On our numbers Spartak Varna have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 23% and CSKA Sofia 66%.

How many goals will there be in Spartak Varna vs CSKA Sofia?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Spartak Varna vs CSKA Sofia?

Our predicted score is Spartak Varna 0–2 CSKA Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Spartak Varna vs CSKA Sofia?

Spartak Varna vs CSKA Sofia (First League) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Spartak.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.