CSKA Sofia 59%Draw 22%Arda Kardzhali 20%Expected goals 1.85 – 0.95
59%
Betarazi pick
CSKA Sofia to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCSKA Sofia to win ✓59% · @1.70
Double chanceCSKA Sofia or draw ✓80% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.12
CSKA Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:15 WAT, Saturday 12 September: CSKA Sofia v Arda Kardzhali in the First League, played at National Stadium Vasil Levski. In the table, CSKA Sofia are 1st, leading the league, on 34 points after 14 matches; Arda Kardzhali are 6th (upper half) with 21. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
CSKA Sofia, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Levski Sofia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Arda Kardzhali, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Botev Plovdiv, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give CSKA Sofia 1.8 xG, Arda Kardzhali 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – CSKA Sofia 59%, draw 22%, Arda Kardzhali 20%.
Lower-risk option: CSKA Sofia or draw (80%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was CSKA Sofia to win (59%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: CSKA Sofia 1–0 Arda Kardzhali. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
CSKA Sofia59%fair 1.70 · @1.70
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.30
Arda Kardzhali20%fair 5.10 · @4.40
2.80Expected goals
1.85CSKA Sofia xG
0.95Arda Kardzhali xG
56%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
3–16%
From our goals model: CSKA Sofia 1.8 – 1.0 Arda Kardzhali expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CSKA Sofia to win✓
59%
1.70
1.70
Double chance
CSKA Sofia or draw✓
80%
1.24
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.91 ▲
Draw no bet
CSKA Sofia (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Arda Kardzhali +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
CSKA Sofia to score first
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
CSKA Sofia ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CSKA Sofia / FT CSKA Sofia✗
37%
2.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.12
–
Recent results
CSKA Sofia – last 6
WDWLLW
9 Sep
@ Levski Sofia
4–2
W
5 Sep
@ Spartak Varna
1–1
D
30 Aug
vs Cherno More Varna
3–1
W
27 Aug
vs OFI
0–2
L
20 Aug
@ OFI
0–3
L
16 Aug
vs Botev Vratsa
5–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Arda Kardzhali – last 6
LWWWWL
4 Sep
vs Botev Plovdiv
2–3
L
31 Aug
vs Botev Vratsa
2–0
W
24 Aug
@ Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1–0
W
17 Aug
vs Lokomotiv Sofia
3–1
W
8 Aug
@ Dunav Ruse
2–0
W
31 Jul
@ CSKA 1948
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CSKA Sofia and Arda Kardzhali.
What is the prediction for CSKA Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?
Our pick is CSKA Sofia to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win CSKA Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?
On our numbers CSKA Sofia have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Arda Kardzhali 20%.
How many goals will there be in CSKA Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CSKA Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?
Our predicted score is CSKA Sofia 1–0 Arda Kardzhali, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is CSKA Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?
CSKA Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali (First League) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at National Stadium Vasil Levski.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
