Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.46
Ludogorets vs Septemvri Sofia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ludogorets welcome Septemvri Sofia to Huvepharma Arena for a First League fixture on Monday 14 September (18:30 WAT). In the table, Ludogorets are 3rd, among the top four, on 30 points after 13 matches; Septemvri Sofia are 12th (in the drop zone) with 11. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Ludogorets, last 5: WDDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Lokomotiv Sofia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Septemvri Sofia, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Botev Vratsa, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Ludogorets, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.2 for Septemvri Sofia.
Head to head
When they last met (10 Jul 2026) it ended Ludogorets 1–0 Septemvri Sofia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ludogorets 1.9 xG, Septemvri Sofia 0.6 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ludogorets 68%, draw 20%, Septemvri Sofia 12%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Ludogorets to win (68%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ludogorets 1–0 Septemvri Sofia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ludogorets68%fair 1.46 · @1.20
Draw20%fair 5.09 · @5.00
Septemvri Sofia12%fair 8.39 · @13.00
2.50Expected goals
1.89Ludogorets xG
0.61Septemvri Sofia xG
50%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–015%
1–110%
3–09%
2–19%
0–08%
From our goals model: Ludogorets 1.9 – 0.6 Septemvri Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Ludogorets vs Septemvri Sofia?
Our pick is Ludogorets to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Ludogorets vs Septemvri Sofia?
On our numbers Ludogorets have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Septemvri Sofia 12%.
How many goals will there be in Ludogorets vs Septemvri Sofia?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ludogorets vs Septemvri Sofia?
Our predicted score is Ludogorets 1–0 Septemvri Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Ludogorets vs Septemvri Sofia?
Ludogorets vs Septemvri Sofia (First League) kicks off on Monday 14 September 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Huvepharma Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.