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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ludogorets v Septemvri Sofia: numbers & prediction

First League · Bulgaria · Huvepharma Arena
2–1
FT
Ludogorets 68%Draw 20%Septemvri Sofia 12% Expected goals 1.89 – 0.61
68%
Betarazi pick

Ludogorets to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.46 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultLudogorets to win ✓68% · @1.20
Double chanceLudogorets or draw ✓88% · @1.03
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.46

Ludogorets vs Septemvri Sofia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Ludogorets welcome Septemvri Sofia to Huvepharma Arena for a First League fixture on Monday 14 September (18:30 WAT). In the table, Ludogorets are 3rd, among the top four, on 30 points after 13 matches; Septemvri Sofia are 12th (in the drop zone) with 11. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Ludogorets, last 5: WDDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Lokomotiv Sofia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Septemvri Sofia, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Botev Vratsa, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Ludogorets, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.2 for Septemvri Sofia.

Head to head

When they last met (10 Jul 2026) it ended Ludogorets 1–0 Septemvri Sofia.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ludogorets 1.9 xG, Septemvri Sofia 0.6 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ludogorets 68%, draw 20%, Septemvri Sofia 12%.
  • GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Ludogorets to win (68%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ludogorets 1–0 Septemvri Sofia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ludogorets68%fair 1.46 · @1.20
Draw20%fair 5.09 · @5.00
Septemvri Sofia12%fair 8.39 · @13.00
2.50Expected goals
1.89Ludogorets xG
0.61Septemvri Sofia xG
50%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–015%
1–110%
3–09%
2–19%
0–08%

From our goals model: Ludogorets 1.9 – 0.6 Septemvri Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLudogorets to win ✓68%1.461.20
Double chanceLudogorets or draw ✓88%1.141.03
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗50%1.991.65
Draw no betLudogorets (draw no bet) ✓85%1.17–
Asian handicapLudogorets -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.84–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreLudogorets to score first ✓69%1.44–
Half-time resultLudogorets ahead at half-time ✓47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ludogorets / FT Ludogorets ✓43%2.30–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15%6.46–

Recent results

Ludogorets – last 6

WDDWWW
6 Sep@ Lokomotiv Sofia2–1W
30 Aug@ Spartak Varna1–1D
22 Augvs Slavia Sofia1–1D
15 Augvs Botev Plovdiv2–0W
9 Aug@ Cherno More Varna3–2W
2 Augvs Botev Vratsa2–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Septemvri Sofia – last 6

LDWWLL
4 Sepvs Botev Vratsa2–3L
28 Aug@ Slavia Sofia1–1D
23 Augvs CSKA 19481–0W
17 Aug@ Spartak Varna1–0W
9 Augvs CSKA Sofia0–3L
1 Aug@ Levski Sofia0–3L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 Jul 2026Ludogorets v Septemvri Sofia1–0
Ludogorets vs Septemvri Sofia head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CSKA Sofia141040+2334
2Levski Sofia131021+1732
3Ludogorets13931+1530
4CSKA 194814923+1729
5Botev Plovdiv14725+223
6Arda Kardzhali14635-221
7Spartak Varna14446-1016
8Slavia Sofia14284014
9Cherno More Varna14347-813
10Dunav Ruse14338-712
11Lokomotiv Plovdiv14338-1012
12Septemvri Sofia14329-1311
13Botev Vratsa14248-1310
14Lokomotiv Sofia14167-119

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ludogorets vs Septemvri Sofia?

Our pick is Ludogorets to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Ludogorets vs Septemvri Sofia?

On our numbers Ludogorets have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Septemvri Sofia 12%.

How many goals will there be in Ludogorets vs Septemvri Sofia?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ludogorets vs Septemvri Sofia?

Our predicted score is Ludogorets 1–0 Septemvri Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Ludogorets vs Septemvri Sofia?

Ludogorets vs Septemvri Sofia (First League) kicks off on Monday 14 September 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Huvepharma Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.