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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ludogorets v Arda Kardzhali: numbers & prediction

First League · Bulgaria · Huvepharma Arena
5–0
FT
Ludogorets 61%Draw 23%Arda Kardzhali 17% Expected goals 1.81 – 0.82
61%
Betarazi pick

Ludogorets to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultLudogorets to win ✓61% · @1.50
Double chanceLudogorets or draw ✓83% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.32

Ludogorets vs Arda Kardzhali: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Ludogorets welcome Arda Kardzhali to Huvepharma Arena for a First League fixture on Monday 12 October (18:00 WAT). In the table, Ludogorets are 3rd, among the top four, on 30 points after 13 matches; Arda Kardzhali are 6th (upper half) with 21.

Current form

Ludogorets, last 5: WWWDD Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Cherno More Varna, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.

Arda Kardzhali, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Lokomotiv Plovdiv, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Ludogorets, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.2 for Arda Kardzhali.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Apr 2026) it ended Arda Kardzhali 1–0 Ludogorets.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ludogorets 1.8 xG, Arda Kardzhali 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ludogorets 61%, draw 23%, Arda Kardzhali 17%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Ludogorets to win (61%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ludogorets 1–0 Arda Kardzhali. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ludogorets61%fair 1.65 · @1.50
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.60
Arda Kardzhali17%fair 6.01 · @6.00
2.63Expected goals
1.81Ludogorets xG
0.82Arda Kardzhali xG
52%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%

From our goals model: Ludogorets 1.8 – 0.8 Arda Kardzhali expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLudogorets to win ✓61%1.651.50
Double chanceLudogorets or draw ✓83%1.201.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.931.85
Draw no betLudogorets (draw no bet) ✓78%1.27–
Asian handicapLudogorets -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗51%1.96–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73%1.37–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗87%1.15–
First team to scoreLudogorets to score first ✓64%1.57–
Half-time resultLudogorets ahead at half-time ✓43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ludogorets / FT Ludogorets ✓38%2.63–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.32–

Recent results

Ludogorets – last 6

WWWDDW
4 Octvs Cherno More Varna5–0W
14 Sepvs Septemvri Sofia2–1W
6 Sep@ Lokomotiv Sofia2–1W
30 Aug@ Spartak Varna1–1D
22 Augvs Slavia Sofia1–1D
15 Augvs Botev Plovdiv2–0W
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Arda Kardzhali – last 6

LDLLWW
2 Oct@ Lokomotiv Plovdiv0–2L
19 Sepvs Cherno More Varna1–1D
12 Sep@ CSKA Sofia1–4L
4 Sepvs Botev Plovdiv2–3L
31 Augvs Botev Vratsa2–0W
24 Aug@ Lokomotiv Plovdiv1–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Apr 2026Arda Kardzhali v Ludogorets1–0
Ludogorets vs Arda Kardzhali head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CSKA Sofia141040+2334
2Levski Sofia131021+1732
3Ludogorets13931+1530
4CSKA 194814923+1729
5Botev Plovdiv14725+223
6Arda Kardzhali14635-221
7Spartak Varna14446-1016
8Slavia Sofia14284014
9Cherno More Varna14347-813
10Dunav Ruse14338-712
11Lokomotiv Plovdiv14338-1012
12Septemvri Sofia14329-1311
13Botev Vratsa14248-1310
14Lokomotiv Sofia14167-119

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ludogorets vs Arda Kardzhali?

Our pick is Ludogorets to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Ludogorets vs Arda Kardzhali?

On our numbers Ludogorets have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Arda Kardzhali 17%.

How many goals will there be in Ludogorets vs Arda Kardzhali?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ludogorets vs Arda Kardzhali?

Our predicted score is Ludogorets 1–0 Arda Kardzhali, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Ludogorets vs Arda Kardzhali?

Ludogorets vs Arda Kardzhali (First League) kicks off on Monday 12 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Huvepharma Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.