Lokomotiv Sofia 55%Draw 24%Botev Vratsa 21%Expected goals 1.75 – 0.98
79%
Betarazi pick
Lokomotiv Sofia or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultLokomotiv Sofia to win ✗55% · @1.85
Double chanceLokomotiv Sofia or draw ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.22
Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Vratsa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Saturday 24 October: Lokomotiv Sofia v Botev Vratsa in the First League, played at Stadion Lokomotiv. In the table, Lokomotiv Sofia are 14th, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 14 matches; Botev Vratsa are 13th (in the drop zone) with 10. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Lokomotiv Sofia, last 5: WDWLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Vihren, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Botev Vratsa, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Fratria, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (5 May 2026) it ended Lokomotiv Sofia 2–2 Botev Vratsa. The last 2 head-to-heads: Lokomotiv Sofia 0 wins, Botev Vratsa 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 4.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lokomotiv Sofia 1.7 xG, Botev Vratsa 1.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lokomotiv Sofia 55%, draw 24%, Botev Vratsa 21%.
Lower-risk option: Lokomotiv Sofia or draw (79%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Lokomotiv Sofia or draw (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lokomotiv Sofia 1–0 Botev Vratsa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lokomotiv Sofia55%fair 1.81 · @1.85
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.30
Botev Vratsa21%fair 4.75 · @3.60
2.73Expected goals
1.75Lokomotiv Sofia xG
0.98Botev Vratsa xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Lokomotiv Sofia 1.7 – 1.0 Botev Vratsa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Vratsa?
Our pick is Lokomotiv Sofia or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Vratsa?
On our numbers Lokomotiv Sofia have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Botev Vratsa 21%.
How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Vratsa?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Vratsa?
Our predicted score is Lokomotiv Sofia 1–0 Botev Vratsa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Vratsa?
Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Vratsa (First League) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Lokomotiv.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
