Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Lokomotiv Plovdiv to win @ 3.80 – our chance 31% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBotev Vratsa to win ✗46% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.95
Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:30 WAT, Saturday 7 November: Botev Vratsa v Lokomotiv Plovdiv in the First League, played at Hristo Botev Stadium. In the table, Botev Vratsa are 13th, in the drop zone, on 10 points after 14 matches; Lokomotiv Plovdiv are 11th (lower half) with 12. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Botev Vratsa, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Cherno More Varna, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv, last 5: LDWWD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Ludogorets, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Lokomotiv Plovdiv, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Botev Vratsa.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Mar 2026) it ended Botev Vratsa 1–2 Lokomotiv Plovdiv.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Botev Vratsa 1.2 xG, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Botev Vratsa 46%, draw 23%, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 31%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Lokomotiv Plovdiv to win @3.80 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (63%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Botev Vratsa 1–1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Botev Vratsa46%fair 2.18 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.20
Lokomotiv Plovdiv31%fair 3.23 · @3.80
2.13Expected goals
1.21Botev Vratsa xG
0.92Lokomotiv Plovdiv xG
50%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Botev Vratsa 1.2 – 0.9 Lokomotiv Plovdiv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
On our numbers Botev Vratsa have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lokomotiv Plovdiv 31%.
How many goals will there be in Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Our predicted score is Botev Vratsa 1–1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv (First League) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Hristo Botev Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
