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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Lokomotiv Plovdiv v Ludogorets: numbers & prediction

First League · Bulgaria · Hristo Bonev
0–3
FT
Lokomotiv Plovdiv 12%Draw 20%Ludogorets 68% Expected goals 0.49 – 1.68
68%
Betarazi pick

Ludogorets to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultLudogorets to win ✓68% · @1.44
Double chanceLudogorets or draw ✓88% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗19% · fair 5.22

Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Ludogorets: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Lokomotiv Plovdiv welcome Ludogorets to Hristo Bonev for a First League fixture on Saturday 31 October (13:00 WAT). In the table, Lokomotiv Plovdiv are 11th, lower half, on 12 points after 14 matches; Ludogorets are 3rd (among the top four) with 30. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Lokomotiv Plovdiv, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Slavia Sofia, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Ludogorets, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to CSKA Sofia, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Ludogorets, collecting 2.5 points per game to 2.0 for Lokomotiv Plovdiv.

Head to head

When they last met (18 Jul 2026) it ended Ludogorets 1–0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv. The last 2 head-to-heads: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0 wins, Ludogorets 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0.5 xG, Ludogorets 1.7 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Lokomotiv Plovdiv 12%, draw 20%, Ludogorets 68%.
  • GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Ludogorets to win (68%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0–1 Ludogorets. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lokomotiv Plovdiv12%fair 8.23 · @6.50
Draw20%fair 5.11 · @3.50
Ludogorets68%fair 1.47 · @1.44
2.17Expected goals
0.49Lokomotiv Plovdiv xG
1.68Ludogorets xG
45%Both score
37%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–119%
0–216%
0–011%
1–19%
0–39%
1–28%

From our goals model: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0.5 – 1.7 Ludogorets expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLudogorets to win ✓68%1.471.44
Double chanceLudogorets or draw ✓88%1.141.10
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓55%1.801.57
Draw no betLudogorets (draw no bet) ✓85%1.18–
Asian handicapLudogorets -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.07–
First team to scoreLudogorets to score first ✓68%1.46–
Half-time resultLudogorets ahead at half-time ✓45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ludogorets / FT Ludogorets ✓42%2.40–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗19%5.22–

Recent results

Lokomotiv Plovdiv – last 6

DWWDWD
26 Octvs Slavia Sofia0–0D
21 Oct@ Cherno More Varna1–0W
16 Oct@ Yantra 20192–0W
10 Oct@ Lokomotiv Sofia1–1D
2 Octvs Arda Kardzhali2–0W
20 Sepvs CSKA Sofia1–1D
1.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Ludogorets – last 6

LWWWWW
26 Oct@ CSKA Sofia0–2L
17 Oct@ Beroe3–0W
12 Octvs Arda Kardzhali5–0W
4 Octvs Cherno More Varna5–0W
14 Sepvs Septemvri Sofia2–1W
6 Sep@ Lokomotiv Sofia2–1W
2.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Jul 2026Ludogorets v Lokomotiv Plovdiv1–0
2 Mar 2026Ludogorets v Lokomotiv Plovdiv1–1
Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Ludogorets head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CSKA Sofia141040+2334
2Levski Sofia131021+1732
3Ludogorets13931+1530
4CSKA 194814923+1729
5Botev Plovdiv14725+223
6Arda Kardzhali14635-221
7Spartak Varna14446-1016
8Slavia Sofia14284014
9Cherno More Varna14347-813
10Dunav Ruse14338-712
11Lokomotiv Plovdiv14338-1012
12Septemvri Sofia14329-1311
13Botev Vratsa14248-1310
14Lokomotiv Sofia14167-119

More First League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Ludogorets?

Our pick is Ludogorets to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Ludogorets?

On our numbers Lokomotiv Plovdiv have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Ludogorets 68%.

How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Ludogorets?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Ludogorets?

Our predicted score is Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0–1 Ludogorets, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Ludogorets?

Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Ludogorets (First League) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Hristo Bonev.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.