Lokomotiv Sofia 34%Draw 23%Botev Plovdiv 43%Expected goals 1.32 – 1.51
61%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultBotev Plovdiv to win ✓43% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.26
Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 30 October the First League brings Lokomotiv Sofia against Botev Plovdiv at Stadion Lokomotiv. Kick-off: 18:30 WAT. In the table, Lokomotiv Sofia are 14th, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 14 matches; Botev Plovdiv are 5th (upper half) with 23. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Lokomotiv Sofia, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Botev Vratsa, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Botev Plovdiv, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to CSKA 1948, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Botev Plovdiv, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.5 for Lokomotiv Sofia.
Head to head
When they last met (21 Jul 2026) it ended Botev Plovdiv 1–1 Lokomotiv Sofia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lokomotiv Sofia 1.3 xG, Botev Plovdiv 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lokomotiv Sofia 34%, draw 23%, Botev Plovdiv 43%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lokomotiv Sofia 1–1 Botev Plovdiv. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lokomotiv Sofia34%fair 2.92 · @2.80
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.10
Botev Plovdiv43%fair 2.33 · @2.30
2.83Expected goals
1.32Lokomotiv Sofia xG
1.51Botev Plovdiv xG
61%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Lokomotiv Sofia 1.3 – 1.5 Botev Plovdiv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv?
On our numbers Lokomotiv Sofia have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Botev Plovdiv 43%.
How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv?
Our predicted score is Lokomotiv Sofia 1–1 Botev Plovdiv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv?
Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv (First League) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Lokomotiv.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
