Almeria vs Malaga: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Almeria welcome Malaga for a Segunda División fixture on Saturday 20 June (20:00 WAT).
Current form
Almeria, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Malaga, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Malaga, last 5: DDWWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Almeria, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (14 Jun 2026) it ended Malaga 0–0 Almeria.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Almeria 1.7 xG, Malaga 1.1 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Almeria 47%, draw 25%, Malaga 28%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Almeria 1–1 Malaga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Almeria47%fair 2.12 · @2.12
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.35
Malaga28%fair 3.62 · @3.35
2.78Expected goals
1.68Almeria xG
1.09Malaga xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
1–26%
From our goals model: Almeria 1.7 – 1.1 Malaga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Almeria
Malaga
Attack vs Segunda División average
+32%
+5%
Goals conceded vs average
-26%
-18%
Our expected goals here
1.70
0.93
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Almeria vs Malaga?
On our numbers Almeria have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Malaga 28%.
How many goals will there be in Almeria vs Malaga?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Almeria vs Malaga?
Our predicted score is Almeria 1–1 Malaga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Almeria vs Malaga?
Almeria vs Malaga (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 20 June 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
