Value bet: Independiente F.b.c. to win @ 2.50 – our chance 43% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultIndependiente F.b.c. to win ✗43% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.61
Independiente F.b.c. vs Benjamín Aceval: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Benjamín Aceval travel to face Independiente F.b.c. on Tuesday 30 June in the Division Intermedia – the ball rolls at 22:00 WAT. In the table, Independiente F.b.c. are 6th, upper half, on 43 points after 30 matches; Benjamín Aceval are 9th (lower half) with 42. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Independiente F.b.c., last 5: WLLDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Sportivo Carapeguá, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Benjamín Aceval, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Tacuary, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Momentum favours Benjamín Aceval, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.3 for Independiente F.b.c..
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Independiente F.b.c. 1.7 xG, Benjamín Aceval 1.2 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 51% for three or more goals, 52% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Independiente F.b.c. 43%, draw 24%, Benjamín Aceval 33%.
Price worth noting: Independiente F.b.c. to win @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (51%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.94, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Independiente F.b.c. 2–1 Benjamín Aceval. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Independiente F.b.c.43%fair 2.31 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.20
Benjamín Aceval33%fair 3.05 · @2.50
2.91Expected goals
1.67Independiente F.b.c. xG
1.24Benjamín Aceval xG
52%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
2–08%
1–27%
0–17%
From our goals model: Independiente F.b.c. 1.7 – 1.2 Benjamín Aceval expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independiente F.b.c. to win✗
43%
2.31
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
–
Draw no bet
Independiente F.b.c. (draw no bet)✗
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
Benjamín Aceval +1 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.94
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
First team to score
Independiente F.b.c. to score first
54%
1.84
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independiente F.b.c. / FT Independiente F.b.c.✗
29%
3.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.61
–
Recent results
Independiente F.b.c. – last 6
WLLDWD
6 Jun
@ Sportivo Carapeguá
2–0
W
29 May
vs 12 de Junio VH
1–2
L
19 May
vs Deportivo Santani
0–2
L
14 May
@ Fernando De La Mora
1–1
D
26 Apr
vs Guairena FC
2–0
W
17 Apr
@ Resistencia
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Benjamín Aceval – last 6
WLWWWW
6 Jun
vs Tacuary
3–2
W
30 May
@ Atlético Tembetary
3–4
L
24 May
@ Paraguari AC
2–1
W
21 May
vs Sportivo Carapeguá
2–0
W
15 May
@ 12 de Junio VH
2–1
W
10 May
vs Encarnación
1–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Independiente F.b.c. and Benjamín Aceval.
What is the prediction for Independiente F.b.c. vs Benjamín Aceval?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Independiente F.b.c. vs Benjamín Aceval?
On our numbers Independiente F.b.c. have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Benjamín Aceval 33%.
How many goals will there be in Independiente F.b.c. vs Benjamín Aceval?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Independiente F.b.c. vs Benjamín Aceval?
Our predicted score is Independiente F.b.c. 2–1 Benjamín Aceval, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Independiente F.b.c. vs Benjamín Aceval?
Independiente F.b.c. vs Benjamín Aceval (Division Intermedia) kicks off on Tuesday 30 June 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
