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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sporting San Jose v LD Alajuelense: numbers & prediction

Primera División · Costa-Rica · Estadio Puente de Piedra
1–1
FT
Sporting San Jose 31%Draw 26%LD Alajuelense 44% Expected goals 1.24 – 1.56
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.35 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.35Odds
2

Value bet: LD Alajuelense to win @ 2.45 – our chance 44% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultLD Alajuelense to win ✗44% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.88

Sporting San Jose vs LD Alajuelense: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sporting San Jose welcome LD Alajuelense to Estadio Puente de Piedra for a Primera División fixture on Sunday 26 July (03:00 WAT). In the table, Sporting San Jose are 3rd, among the top four, on 30 points after 16 matches; LD Alajuelense are 4th (among the top four) with 29. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Sporting San Jose, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Atletico San Luis, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

LD Alajuelense, last 5: LWDWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to CS Herediano, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours LD Alajuelense, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Sporting San Jose.

Head to head

When they last met (12 Apr 2026) it ended Sporting San Jose 0–2 LD Alajuelense. The last 2 head-to-heads: Sporting San Jose 1 win, LD Alajuelense 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sporting San Jose 1.2 xG, LD Alajuelense 1.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sporting San Jose 31%, draw 26%, LD Alajuelense 44%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.75.
  • Price worth noting: LD Alajuelense to win @2.45 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 44%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sporting San Jose 1–1 LD Alajuelense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sporting San Jose31%fair 3.24 · @2.70
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @3.10
LD Alajuelense44%fair 2.30 · @2.45
2.80Expected goals
1.24Sporting San Jose xG
1.56LD Alajuelense xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
0–27%
2–17%

From our goals model: Sporting San Jose 1.2 – 1.6 LD Alajuelense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLD Alajuelense to win ✗44%2.302.45 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74%1.341.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.721.75
Draw no betLD Alajuelense (draw no bet)58%1.71–
Asian handicapSporting San Jose +1 (Asian handicap) ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.371.35
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓50%1.991.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.401.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
First team to scoreLD Alajuelense to score first ✗52%1.91–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.43–
Half-time / full-timeHT LD Alajuelense / FT LD Alajuelense ✗27%3.73–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.88–

Recent results

Sporting San Jose – last 6

LDLWLL
7 Jul@ Atletico San Luis0–4L
26 Apr@ CS Herediano0–0D
22 Aprvs Municipal Liberia0–1L
19 Apr@ Puntarenas FC2–1W
16 Aprvs Deportivo Saprissa1–3L
12 Aprvs LD Alajuelense0–2L
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

LD Alajuelense – last 6

LWDWDL
13 Julvs CS Herediano0–1L
24 Aprvs Puntarenas FC5–2W
20 Aprvs Deportivo Saprissa1–1D
12 Apr@ Sporting San Jose2–0W
6 Aprvs Guadalupe FC1–1D
22 Mar@ CS Herediano1–2L
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

12 Apr 2026Sporting San Jose v LD Alajuelense0–2
16 Feb 2026LD Alajuelense v Sporting San Jose1–2
Sporting San Jose vs LD Alajuelense head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Deportivo Saprissa161015+1631
2CS Cartagines161015+1231
3Sporting San Jose16934+730
4LD Alajuelense16853+1229
5San Carlos16826-226
6Inter San Carlos16556-620
7Puntarenas FC16547-619
8CS Herediano16439-515
9Escorpiones Belén164111-1213
10Perez Zeledon16259-1611

More Primera División predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sporting San Jose vs LD Alajuelense?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.

Who will win Sporting San Jose vs LD Alajuelense?

On our numbers Sporting San Jose have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 26% and LD Alajuelense 44%.

How many goals will there be in Sporting San Jose vs LD Alajuelense?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sporting San Jose vs LD Alajuelense?

Our predicted score is Sporting San Jose 1–1 LD Alajuelense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Sporting San Jose vs LD Alajuelense?

Sporting San Jose vs LD Alajuelense (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Puente de Piedra.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.