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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

CS Herediano v LD Alajuelense: numbers & prediction

Primera División · Costa-Rica · Estadio Carlos Alvarado
0–3
FT
CS Herediano 36%Draw 27%LD Alajuelense 36% Expected goals 1.04 – 1.15
79%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2

Value bet: LD Alajuelense to win @ 2.95 – our chance 36% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultCS Herediano to win ✗36% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 14.37

CS Herediano vs LD Alajuelense: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

CS Herediano welcome LD Alajuelense to Estadio Carlos Alvarado for a Primera División fixture on Monday 10 August (01:00 WAT). In the table, CS Herediano are 8th, in the drop zone, on 15 points after 16 matches; LD Alajuelense are 4th (among the top four) with 29. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

CS Herediano, last 5: LDDDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Alianza, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

LD Alajuelense, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Diriangén, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Momentum favours LD Alajuelense, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for CS Herediano.

Head to head

When they last met (13 Jul 2026) it ended LD Alajuelense 0–1 CS Herediano. The last 2 head-to-heads: CS Herediano 2 wins, LD Alajuelense 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give CS Herediano 1.0 xG, LD Alajuelense 1.2 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – CS Herediano 36%, draw 27%, LD Alajuelense 36%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.85.
  • Price worth noting: LD Alajuelense to win @2.95 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 36%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: CS Herediano 1–1 LD Alajuelense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

CS Herediano36%fair 2.74 · @2.20
Draw27%fair 3.66 · @3.30
LD Alajuelense36%fair 2.76 · @2.95
2.19Expected goals
1.04CS Herediano xG
1.15LD Alajuelense xG
56%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–011%
1–28%
0–27%

From our goals model: CS Herediano 1.0 – 1.2 LD Alajuelense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCS Herediano to win ✗36%2.742.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.381.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.801.85
Draw no betCS Herediano (draw no bet) ✗50%1.99–
Asian handicapCS Herediano +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.511.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗60%1.681.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.261.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.08–
First team to scoreLD Alajuelense to score first ✓47%2.14–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT LD Alajuelense / FT LD Alajuelense ✓22%4.62–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7%14.37–

Recent results

CS Herediano – last 6

LDDDWW
6 Aug@ Alianza0–1L
3 Aug@ Inter San Carlos1–1D
31 Julvs CD Marathon0–0D
24 Julvs Puntarenas FC1–1D
18 Julvs Deportivo Saprissa1–0W
13 Jul@ LD Alajuelense1–0W
0.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

LD Alajuelense – last 6

WWWDLW
5 Aug@ Diriangén3–1W
2 Augvs Escorpiones Belén2–1W
30 Julvs Xelajú1–0W
26 Jul@ Sporting San Jose1–1D
13 Julvs CS Herediano0–1L
24 Aprvs Puntarenas FC5–2W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Jul 2026LD Alajuelense v CS Herediano0–1
22 Mar 2026CS Herediano v LD Alajuelense2–1
CS Herediano vs LD Alajuelense head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Deportivo Saprissa161015+1631
2CS Cartagines161015+1231
3Sporting San Jose16934+730
4LD Alajuelense16853+1229
5San Carlos16826-226
6Inter San Carlos16556-620
7Puntarenas FC16547-619
8CS Herediano16439-515
9Escorpiones Belén164111-1213
10Perez Zeledon16259-1611

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for CS Herediano vs LD Alajuelense?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win CS Herediano vs LD Alajuelense?

On our numbers CS Herediano have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 27% and LD Alajuelense 36%.

How many goals will there be in CS Herediano vs LD Alajuelense?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for CS Herediano vs LD Alajuelense?

Our predicted score is CS Herediano 1–1 LD Alajuelense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is CS Herediano vs LD Alajuelense?

CS Herediano vs LD Alajuelense (Primera División) kicks off on Monday 10 August 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Carlos Alvarado.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.