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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Puntarenas FC v LD Alajuelense: numbers & prediction

Primera División · Costa-Rica · Estadio Municipal de Puntarenas Miguel Angel Lito Perez Treacy
1–1
FT
Puntarenas FC 22%Draw 22%LD Alajuelense 56% Expected goals 0.89 – 1.61
58%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.67Odds
2

Value bet: LD Alajuelense to win @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultLD Alajuelense to win ✗56% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.56

Puntarenas FC vs LD Alajuelense: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

00:00 WAT, Sunday 11 October: Puntarenas FC v LD Alajuelense in the Primera División, played at Estadio Municipal de Puntarenas Miguel Angel Lito Perez Treacy. In the table, Puntarenas FC are 7th, lower half, on 19 points after 16 matches; LD Alajuelense are 4th (among the top four) with 29.

Current form

Puntarenas FC, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Escorpiones Belén, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

LD Alajuelense, last 5: WWLDL Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Inter San Carlos, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Aug 2026) it ended LD Alajuelense 2–1 Puntarenas FC. The last 3 head-to-heads: Puntarenas FC 1 win, LD Alajuelense 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Puntarenas FC 0.9 xG, LD Alajuelense 1.6 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Puntarenas FC 22%, draw 22%, LD Alajuelense 56%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.67.
  • Price worth noting: LD Alajuelense to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Puntarenas FC 1–1 LD Alajuelense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Puntarenas FC22%fair 4.51 · @3.40
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.20
LD Alajuelense56%fair 1.78 · @1.91
2.50Expected goals
0.89Puntarenas FC xG
1.61LD Alajuelense xG
58%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–113%
1–112%
0–211%
1–29%
0–08%
1–07%

From our goals model: Puntarenas FC 0.9 – 1.6 LD Alajuelense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLD Alajuelense to win ✗56%1.781.91 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78%1.281.29
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.721.67
Draw no betLD Alajuelense (draw no bet)72%1.40–
Asian handicapPuntarenas FC +1 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.84–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreLD Alajuelense to score first ✓59%1.69–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT LD Alajuelense / FT LD Alajuelense ✗33%3.01–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.56–

Recent results

Puntarenas FC – last 6

WDLWWL
20 Sepvs Escorpiones Belén1–0W
13 Sep@ Inter San Carlos1–1D
6 Sepvs CS Cartagines1–3L
30 Aug@ San Carlos2–1W
22 Augvs Perez Zeledon1–0W
15 Aug@ LD Alajuelense1–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

LD Alajuelense – last 6

WWLDLD
21 Sepvs Inter San Carlos5–0W
18 Sepvs CD Marathon3–1W
14 Sep@ CS Cartagines1–3L
11 Sep@ CD Marathon2–2D
6 Sepvs Deportivo Saprissa0–2L
30 Aug@ Perez Zeledon1–1D
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Aug 2026LD Alajuelense v Puntarenas FC2–1
24 Apr 2026LD Alajuelense v Puntarenas FC5–2
1 Mar 2026Puntarenas FC v LD Alajuelense2–0
Puntarenas FC vs LD Alajuelense head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Deportivo Saprissa161015+1631
2CS Cartagines161015+1231
3Sporting San Jose16934+730
4LD Alajuelense16853+1229
5San Carlos16826-226
6Inter San Carlos16556-620
7Puntarenas FC16547-619
8CS Herediano16439-515
9Escorpiones Belén164111-1213
10Perez Zeledon16259-1611

More Primera División predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Puntarenas FC vs LD Alajuelense?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Puntarenas FC vs LD Alajuelense?

On our numbers Puntarenas FC have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 22% and LD Alajuelense 56%.

How many goals will there be in Puntarenas FC vs LD Alajuelense?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Puntarenas FC vs LD Alajuelense?

Our predicted score is Puntarenas FC 1–1 LD Alajuelense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Puntarenas FC vs LD Alajuelense?

Puntarenas FC vs LD Alajuelense (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Puntarenas Miguel Angel Lito Perez Treacy.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.